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Daily NAPS ~ 11/07/07


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Re: Daily NAPS ~ 11/07/07 Arch Swing 3.10 Newmarket (WIN) (partly taken from mowgli77 specialist thread) The one I really like the look of is Arch Swing, which I think is much better than the bare form and was very unlucky last time out when struggling to get a run and getting blocked in repeatedly under Kinane. It ran well in the 2000 Guineas and had no chance with Finsceal Beo, was sore the race after but back to form when blocked in as explained. I think this has more improvement than some of the others at 3-year-old and beware of comments from the so-called experts. They seem to think the 3-year-olds will struggle in this race against their elders with comments like this "ground coming in her favour but needs a career-best against these top older fillies". A quick look at the trends shows out of the last 10 years this race has been won 6 times by 3 year olds and they get to carry less weight due to age. Arch Swing’s last race was on good to soft so the drying ground can only help and it should have a clear chance if having a clear run. Early indications are that it will go off about 9-2.

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