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Newcastle 02/06


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Re: Newcastle 02/06 8.00 Newcastle Currently 16 go to post for this 10f Cl 6 handicap, so we will benefit from being paid out on 4 places....there is time for that to change though! A pretty open event here, with the main contenders (and RPF) being: Royal Flynn (100/30) - Worthy fav, conditions to suit but top weight here and has to overcome 6lb higher mark so percentage call to oppose. Rotuma (13/2) - Michael Dods holds the cards here with the top 2 in the betting, but 6th here lto off same mark in same class so no reason why it should win tonight. Tour D'Amour (13/2) - Has a good chance tonight but stamina to prove here, especially with a strong pace likely. Turn Of Phrase (7/1) - Has lots in its favour from good stable but track absence is enough to make me want to look elsewhere. Neils Legacy (9/1) - Big drop in weights but never won a handicap. With such a competitive field, that isn't likely to change here. Elopement (9/1) - My money will be on this horse. Lightly raced, improving, needs strong pace which it will get here, proven stamina, stiff track will suit, easy ground in its favour. Nice price at 10/1. * I'm pretty confident that the winner will emerge from the front 6, so will not even give the others a mention. Recommended Bet Elopement (10/1 Bet365) - 5pts EW)

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