Yarmouth 30/05

[RussP]

:ok

[RussP]

Re: Yarmouth 30/05 3.55 Yarmouth 1m handicap, Cl 6 with an expected 14 runners. The credentials of those prominent in the betting have to be question, so I've scouted around the big prices for an E/W bet. The top 6 in the RPF are:- Networker (3/1) - 6lb rise in weights, prefers turning track, unproven on slowish ground, Brett Doyle takes over from Spencer in the saddle. Enough grounds to oppose on, especially at likely price. Al Rayanah (5/1) - Has lots in its favour today such as track, trip and going. However ran flat on reappearance and too short at 5/1 to be backed with max confidence. Postmaster (6/1) - Raced almost exclusively in this grade, but 0 from 15 on turf. Has good form on AW, but this is different. Convallaria (8/1) - Decent stable, so must be feared. However, handicap debut so percentage call is to oppose. Desert Island Miss (8/1) - Another unexposed type with only 4 races to date. Off course for 210 days. Similar comments to Convallaria. The Bonus King (8/1) - Has had its day, never won over trip, has it all to prove following last run With none of the above filling me with great confidence, I'll take a chance on 16/1 shot, Emilys Place. Certainly, the horse has questions to answer but that is to be expected at those odds but has enough to recommend a bet. Hails from the Pearce stable, one which generally does well with his horses here at Yarmouth. Shown little last 5 starts on AW, but has claims on turf form last season. 2 wins, 3 places and 2 unpl from last 7 turf starts, wins coming in claimers both over this distance. The 2 unpl efforts came in Cl 5 handicaps, this is Cl 6 and is 4lb better off than those runs. Has to prove itself in good heart after 144 day absence, and that it handles cut in the ground but, at 16/1, it cannot be ignored. Recommended Bet Emilys Place - RPF 16/1