MLB! Bad pitching = Runs

[El_Stuart]

Just paper testing something here since i have no real means of backtesting this. Will see how it rolls and probably tweak some things as i go along. Basic stuff to start with, the 2 key components of how well a pitcher is doing is WHIP (walks+hits/innings pitched), and ERA. Now ERA is such an over-rated stat as it doesnt allow for runners scored by relief pitchers etc, so im going to use a stat called FIP ERA (FIP), this is a stat developed to attempt to remove the "luck" factor in pitching, and removes things a pitcher is proven not to have a lot of control over (stats available if anyone wants proof, lol). Simple stuff really but ive just done a crap job at explaining lol. Theory is to take the games where BOTH starting pitchers' FIP is 5.00 or over, and BOTH starters have a WHIP of 1.50 or higher and then back the OVERS in that game (thought behind this is using those 2 stats removes all luck and concentrates on those really pitching poorly). Starting Bank 100pts and all bets to a 5pt level stake :ok 1 selection for today: Chicago Whitesox @ Chicago Cubs OVER 8.5 RUNS (5pts @ 2.03 with PINNACLE) -Masset (CWS SP) has a 5.39 FIP and 1.78 WHIP -Zambrano (CHC SP) has a 6.04 FIP and 1.53 WHIP Remember, Just a paper trail for now :hope

[El_Stuart]

Re: MLB! Bad pitching = Runs Always nice to start on a winner, 10.15pts returned :clap