Laying the fav in maiden races

[mowgli77]

I've noticed lately that a lot of short priced and odds on favourites keep getting turned over in the maiden races. I personally can't back a horse below about 2-1 when it has proven nothing usually and is priced up on potential or pedigree alone. This thread will be laying all favs under 2-1 (at SP) in any flat maiden race including all weather races in UK excluding Irish racing. I can't get internet access to check odds available to lay on Betfair so will have to update results when I get in. For now I'll just keep it to a win/loss ratio as it's unfair to use profit/loss when I don't even know if odds would have been matched or exactly what prices were available before the race. I'll put up selections the night before that are based on expected SP's, if they drift out or start over 2-1 no lay, any that come in and are under 2-1 SP will be a lay. I'll just run it for a month or so to start with and see if I'm on the right lines. Just to make it clear this is a paper trial only for now. :ok Fridays Selections: Fast Feet 2.50 Musselburgh (11-8) Yaroslav 3.00 Lingfield (11-8) Mia's Boy 5.30 Lingfield (5-4)

[RussP]

Re: Laying the fav in maiden races Phil, Good luck with this, mate. Interesting idea. Just one point that may be of interest.....I used to follow all maiden race favs which finished 2nd or 3rd lto. It did produce some decent returns, albeit I had no price restriction. So, it may be worth bearing this in mind as I suspect that many of the short priced favs that have been turned over were either making their debut or are over-hyped and didn't finish in the 3 lto. Just a thought, mate, sorry for hijacking your thread.:ok