Kempton 02/05/07

[Carl]

:ok

[mowgli77]

Re: Kempton 02/05/07

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	8.35 Kempton
Selection	Raza Cab (Each-Way)
Strength	3/10
Date	02/05/2007
Bookmaker/Price	totesport @ 12.00 (Back)
Reasoning	I narrowed the race down to 3 looking at form and handicap marks. They were Lavenham, Binnion Bay and Raza Cab. I feel the latter is good value and has important course form as well as distance form. Won off a 71 rating, 6th last time off 75 but was held up and had Darryl Holland on board. Has the benefit of a 3lb claimer on board in Jerry O Dwyer and he is one of the hot jockeys at the moment with a 25 % strike rate currently. (3-12) Therefore goes off 75 again but with the 3lb claim bringing mark to 72. Was in command 2 runs ago when winning over the 7f at Lingfield and that was also a class 4 race off the 71 rating. Only ran 5 days ago, drawn 9 but that won't matter as it comes late from behind and needs to avoid traffic. Lavenham might be worth a small ew but has no aw form.