Southwell and Folkestone Wednesday

[dave]

Southwell 1.50 Was hoping for a bigger price on this one, but at around 38.0 on betfair Humdinger has to be bet. Record of 0110 after break of 4 weeks+. Has won on slow going, and sire stats suggest to me that 1 mile may be a more suitable trip. Southwell 2.25 Lord Chamberlain runs best with a short break, AM top rated, and in a wide open race, looks great value. Southwell 3.00 Tigress after a break of 7 days or less, and over 5f is 115151. Form at Southwell is slightly worrying, but runs well on ground, and did win here on 2nd ever outing. Southwell 3.35 Could She Be Magic's record after a break of 15-20 days reads 811, the 8 was on turf over an inadequate 5f. Jockey won on horse, ground no problem, again looks value in a wide open race. Southwell 4.45 Before last race I almost bet on Red Lancer whose record with break of 11 days or less was 11. But becasue break was exactly 11 days I decided not to. He won at 14/1, and I don't plan to make the same mistake again. Now 111 with break of 11 days or less, odds aren't great, but should win. 1.40 Great Crusader is excellent on right-handed tracks in class E or lower and record reads 3311111 (5-7). Last run wasn't too bad, as record with break of 6 weeks or more reads 98324P326. 3.25 *LAY* Asador record on VSft or Heavy 5111111FF (6-9), record on anything else 7FP7F (0-5). A weak race, but failed to complete 3 of last 4, tight track will not test stamina, and doesn't like ground.