Historical Goals

[Crouch Potato]

Premise is pretty simple here. Look at Head to head records and calculate how many times out of last 10 meetings (if applicable) that Overs has been a winner. If Total Goals market is available, calculate for 2+ as well. Compare this percentage to the odds and if there is value based on this simple calculation then bet on 2+/3+ etc. Maximum number of previous games considered is 10. Minimum sample required is 5. The maximum bet is 50pts. Stake is determined by % of previous games where bet was a winner multiplied by 50. For games where sample size is less than 8 though, stake will then be reduced by a third. The system will be restricted to: English Premier League to English League Two Scottish Premier League French Ligue 1 French Ligue 2 Spanish Primera Dutch Eredivisie Italian Serie A Italian Serie B German Bundesliga Additional Leagues will be considered in due course. Total Bets: Wins: Staked: Return: Profit: Yield: S/R:

[Crouch Potato]

Re: Historical Goals Bet 1: Betis v Barcelona (Spanish Primera)

Feb 18, 2006 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 5 - 1 Sep 24, 2005 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 1 - 4 Aug 20, 2005 Super Copa Barcelona Betis 1 - 2 Aug 13, 2005 Super Copa Betis Barcelona 0 - 3 Apr 03, 2005 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 3 - 3 Nov 14, 2004 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 2 - 1 Apr 14, 2004 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 1 - 1 Nov 09, 2003 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 2 - 1 Feb 22, 2003 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 4 - 0 Sep 28, 2002 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 3 - 0

Sample Size: 10 Games with 2+: 10 (100%) Implied Odds: 1.00 Actual Odds: 1.36 Games with 3+: 9 (90%) Actual Odds: 2.09 Implied Odds: 1.11 Bets 50pts on 2+ @ 1.36 45pts on 3+ @ 2.09