Jump to content

Historical Goals


Recommended Posts

Premise is pretty simple here. Look at Head to head records and calculate how many times out of last 10 meetings (if applicable) that Overs has been a winner. If Total Goals market is available, calculate for 2+ as well. Compare this percentage to the odds and if there is value based on this simple calculation then bet on 2+/3+ etc. Maximum number of previous games considered is 10. Minimum sample required is 5. The maximum bet is 50pts. Stake is determined by % of previous games where bet was a winner multiplied by 50. For games where sample size is less than 8 though, stake will then be reduced by a third. The system will be restricted to: English Premier League to English League Two Scottish Premier League French Ligue 1 French Ligue 2 Spanish Primera Dutch Eredivisie Italian Serie A Italian Serie B German Bundesliga Additional Leagues will be considered in due course. Total Bets: Wins: Staked: Return: Profit: Yield: S/R:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Re: Historical Goals Bet 1: Betis v Barcelona (Spanish Primera)

Feb 18, 2006 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 5 - 1
Sep 24, 2005 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 1 - 4
Aug 20, 2005 Super Copa Barcelona Betis 1 - 2
Aug 13, 2005 Super Copa Betis Barcelona 0 - 3
Apr 03, 2005 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 3 - 3
Nov 14, 2004 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 2 - 1
Apr 14, 2004 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 1 - 1
Nov 09, 2003 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 2 - 1
Feb 22, 2003 Primera Division Barcelona Betis 4 - 0
Sep 28, 2002 Primera Division Betis Barcelona 3 - 0
Sample Size: 10 Games with 2+: 10 (100%) Implied Odds: 1.00 Actual Odds: 1.36 Games with 3+: 9 (90%) Actual Odds: 2.09 Implied Odds: 1.11 Bets 50pts on 2+ @ 1.36 45pts on 3+ @ 2.09
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This thread has more posts. To see them, you'll need to sign up or sign in.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...