Roby Posted January 12, 2007 Share Posted January 12, 2007 it is a paper trial system . i will use 100 points bankroll and flat staking (1 point for each game) sorry ,my english isn't so good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 12, 2007 Author Share Posted January 12, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws 12 jan Amiens , Ajaccio , X @ 2.8 Dijon , Istres , X @ 3.4 Tours CN , Le Havre , X @ 2.88 West Bromwich , Lotun , X @ 3.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 13, 2007 Author Share Posted January 13, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Ergotelis , Xanthi Birmingham , Leeds Colchester , Licester Hull , Q.P.R. Sanderland , Ipswich Bordeaux , Lorient Toulouse , Lyon Rennes , Marseille Saint Etienne , Monaco Falkirk , Dunfermline Gimnastico , Getafe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 15, 2007 Author Share Posted January 15, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Total : 14 Correct : 3 Incorrect :11 Strike rate : 21.4% i lost these games in last minutes Hull , Q.P.R. 2-1 ( 90+) Falkirk , Dunfermline 1-0( 90+) West Bromwich , Lotun 3-2(90+) hope to be more lucky next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 16, 2007 Author Share Posted January 16, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws i need some help on these ideas if we have a good candidate for draw it will be a better candidate for an Under 2.5 ,is it true? and i have another idea about betting on correct scores insteed of bet on draws . most of draws are 1-1 or 0-0 games ( and 1-1s are more than 0-0s) so we can bet on 1-1 insteed of draw whats your idea? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 16, 2007 Author Share Posted January 16, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws i checked these ideas on this week selecions and here is results Amiens , Ajaccio 1-1 Dijon , Istres 1-0 Tours CN , Le Havre 0-2 West Bromwich , Lotun 3-2 Ergotelis , Xanthi 3-1 Colchester , Licester 1-1 Hull , Q.P.R. 2-1 Sanderland , Ipswich 1-0 Bordeaux , Lorient 1-1 Toulouse , Lyon 2-0 Rennes , Marseille 0-2 Saint Etienne , Monaco 0-1 Falkirk , Dunfermline 1-0 Gimnastico , Getafe 1-3 i had 3 draws and all of them were 1-1s if we assume that each 1-1 has at least odds of 6 then the P/L wiil be : 3*(6-1) =+ 15 points - 11 Points for incorrets ==> +4 points of profit and for under 2.5 corrects : 10 incorrects : 4 strike rate : 71.4% also if we consider odds at least as 1.5 then the P/L wiil be 10*0.5=+5 Points -4 = +1 Points surely i think the odds should be higher than 1.5 in average. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 19, 2007 Author Share Posted January 19, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws 20 -21 jan Middlesbrough Bolton 3.25 Portsmouth Charlton 3.8 Reading Sheffield United 3.5 Atletico Madrid Osasuna 3.25 Mallorca Real Madrid 3.4 Sociedad Real Valencia FC 3.25 Zaragoza Huelva 3.3 Lierse Charleroi 3.5 Dunfermline Rangers 4.5 OFI Iraklis Saloniki 3 Panionios Ergotelis 3 Eindhoven Heerenveen 5 Roda JC Willem 3.6 Vitesse Groningen 3.3 Crystal Palas Hull 3.4 Lotun Barnsley 3.25 Wolverhampton Cardiff 3.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 19, 2007 Author Share Posted January 19, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws i wiil trace statistics for draw/1-1/0-0/under 2.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted January 19, 2007 Share Posted January 19, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Good luck with this. What criteria do you use for selecting the draws? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 19, 2007 Author Share Posted January 19, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws thanks i'm using these ones: 1- past 4 years draw statistics for each team 2- current from of teams 3- current season stats for each team and, 4- overall league Statistics for draws in past 4 years and current season i try to select a draw and i think a draw also is a good pick for under 2.5 and 1-1 /0-0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dices Posted January 19, 2007 Share Posted January 19, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Good luck Roby, watching with intrest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 20, 2007 Author Share Posted January 20, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws thanks Dices. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 20, 2007 Author Share Posted January 20, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Home Away 1-1 0-0 Draw Middlesbrough Bolton 6.5 7 3.25 Portsmouth Charlton 7 10 3.8 Reading Sheffield United 6.5 7 3.5 Atletico Madrid Osasuna 6.5 7 3.25 Mallorca Real Madrid 6.5 7 3.4 Sociedad Real Valencia FC 6.5 7 3.25 Zaragoza Huelva 6.5 7 3.3 Lierse Charleroi 6.5 7.5 3.5 Dunfermline Rangers 7.5 11 4.5 OFI Iraklis Saloniki 6 6 3 Panionios Ergotelis 6 6 3 Eindhoven Heerenveen 10 12 5 Roda JC Willem 8 10 3.6 Vitesse Groningen 8 9.5 3.3 Crystal Palas Hull 6.5 7 3.4 Lotun Barnsley 6.5 7 3.25 Wolverhampton Cardiff 6.5 7 3.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 20, 2007 Author Share Posted January 20, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws odds of 1-1/0-0 s are from eurobet and odds of draws are from one of these o es , bet365, betsafe,unibet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 22, 2007 Author Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Oops ! very very bad it seems my system is need some works. ok, i will work on it for next week .however it's just a trial system . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 22, 2007 Author Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Home Away 1-1 0-0 Draw Result Middlesbrough Bolton 6.5 7 3.25 4-1 Portsmouth Charlton 7 10 3.8 0-1 Reading Sheffield United 6.5 7 3.5 3-1 Atletico Madrid Osasuna 6.5 7 3.25 1-0 goal:84' , 4 red cards for osasuna Mallorca Real Madrid 6.5 7 3.4 0-1 Goal : 77' Sociedad Real Valencia FC 6.5 7 3.25 0-1 Zaragoza Huelva 6.5 7 3.3 0-0 Lierse Charleroi 6.5 7.5 3.5 2-1 Dunfermline Rangers 7.5 11 4.5 0-1 OFI Iraklis Saloniki 6 6 3 1-0 Panionios Ergotelis 6 6 3 2-0 Eindhoven Heerenveen 10 12 5 3-1 penalty and red card on 14th minute ! Roda JC Willem 8 10 3.6 2-1 Vitesse Groningen 8 9.5 3.3 3-2 Crystal Palas Hull 6.5 7 3.4 1-1 Lotun Barnsley 6.5 7 3.25 0-2 Wolverhampton Cardiff 6.5 7 3.25 1-2 second goal : 88' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 22, 2007 Author Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws result for 1-1 Bets :17 correct :1 Accuracy :5.9% 0-0 Bets :17 correct :1 Accuracy :5.9% Draw Bets :17 correct :2 Accuracy :11.76% Under 2.5 Bets :17 correct :10 Accuracy :58.8% ( it needs at least odds of 1.7 ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 22, 2007 Author Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws odds for under 2.5 from unibet.com Middlesbrough Bolton 1.67 Portsmouth Charlton 1.78 Reading Sheffield United 1.7 Atletico Madrid Osasuna 1.65 Mallorca Real Madrid 1.67 Sociedad Real Valencia FC 1.65 Zaragoza Huelva 1.88 Lierse Charleroi 1.75 Dunfermline Rangers 2.1 !! OFI Iraklis Saloniki 1.5 Panionios Ergotelis 1.55 Eindhoven Heerenveen 2.45 Roda JC Willem 2.2 Vitesse Groningen 2.1 Crystal Palas Hull 1.63 Lotun Barnsley 1.78 Wolverhampton Cardiff 7.19 - 7 Pts = 0.19:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted January 22, 2007 Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Hey Roby. Have you checked to see which leagues & odds ranges provide the most likely matches for your draw selections? If not then I would suggest that you refine your selections by checking this information. One of the best sites for this is http://www.h2hstats.com . You will need to register (free) and then go to the odds analyzer to view the leagues, dates and odds ranges which you want to use. Of course if you don't want to use this site there are many other sites where you can obtain the information. GL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 22, 2007 Author Share Posted January 22, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws thanks davidc. it seems a very useful site. surely i will use it . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws 0-0 1-1 Draw :Valenciennes-Le Mans 6 6 3 Lorient-Lens 6,75 5.75 2.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws odds are from one of these : Eurobet,Unibet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 23, 2007 Author Share Posted January 23, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Under 2.5 :Valenciennes-Le Mans 1.68 Lorient-Lens 1.65 odds from betsafe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 24, 2007 Author Share Posted January 24, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Valenciennes - Le Mans 1-1:D Lorient-Lens 1-0:eyes i think the results on under 2.5 is good here is the overall results from the begining: Draw: correct :6 incorrect : 27 strike : 18.18% :cry --------------- 1-1 correct : 5 incorrect : 28 strike rate : 15.15% ------------------ under 2.5 : correct :22 incorrect : 11 strike rate : 66.66% ;) by considering the average odds above 1.5 it could make some profits (until now) let to see what happens this weekend Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws draw 0-0 1-1 under 2.5 Ajaccio Tours CN 3.4 9 7 1.65 Grenoble Chateauroux 2.9 5.5 5.5 1.55 Gueugnon Cretiel 2.9 5.5 5.5 1.55 odds : Eurobet , GameBookers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws draw 0-0 1-1 under 2.5 Charleroi Standard Liège 3.25 7 6.5 1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws under 2.5 Dundee United - Dunfermline 1.75 Falkirk - Kilmarnock 1.7 Bordeaux - Lille 1.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws draw Dundee United - Dunfermline 3.4 Falkirk - Kilmarnock 3.3 Bordeaux - Lille 2.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Overall Results Draw: correct :7 incorrect : 30 strike : 18.9% --------------- 1-1 correct : 6 incorrect : 31 strike rate : 16.22% ------------------ under 2.5 : correct :25 incorrect : 12 strike rate : 67.57% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roby Posted January 26, 2007 Author Share Posted January 26, 2007 Re: Soccer Draws Ajaccio Tours CN 0-1 Grenoble Chateauroux 0-1 (90+ Goal :wall) Gueugnon Cretiel 1-1:ok Charleroi Standard Liège 2-5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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