Slapdash Systems 2007

[slapdash]

I decided I was spending too much time last year posting full details of my selections here and on Sports Punter, so I'm going to adopt a new, leaner approach this year. I'll post all my selections here, including the "almost" ones that I would only have used in my EW Doubles thread last year. The format will be like this: Some Horse 2.15 Hexham (1.75/1.80 5.90/5.95) 5/1 Ladbrokes (don't bet on that, I just made it up!), giving the name, race, Betfair place and win odds (lay/back) and the price I'm taking and a bookmaker offering that price. If I'm taking SP, it will just be Some Horse 2.15 Hexham (1.75/1.80 5.90/5.95) SP and if it's one of the "almosts" that I'd only back in EW doubles myself, then I'll put in in brackets [some Horse 2.15 Hexham (1.75/1.80 5.90/5.95) 5/1 Ladbrokes] Just a reminder of how the system works, for the new year: Many of my selections are in races with short-priced (odds on or close to it) favourites, or races with three places paid and shortish priced first and second favourites. If the best early price available on a horse is about the same or better than the Betfair win price, and the price available to lay the place on Betfair is at least 10% lower than the price you get for the place in an each-way bet at the best early price then it's a selection. Other selections come from large handicap races with 16+ runners (so 4 places paid). The system is the same except that the lay place price should be at least 20% lower than the place price from an each-way bet. These are just guidelines, and other factors may sway me in borderline cases (e.g., I may leave out a borderline case if it's in an 8-runner race and there may be a non-runner cutting the race to two paid places). Also, if the Betfair win price is particularly high/low compared to the early prices I'll let this tighten/loosen my requirements for the place price. The "almosts" that I'll only bet in doubles tend to be ones where the Betfair prices suggest that there is a lot of value in the place part of an EW bet but poor value in the win part. They'll also include some that are the wrong side of borderline for other reasons. All bets are each-way. I won't vary the stake, and will keep records for a 10 point each way level stake. I'll keep separate records for the "definites" and "almosts", based on a 1000 point starting bank in each case. See http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=22876 and http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=19163 for last year's threads, where more details of the systems are given.

[mileni4uk]

Re: Slapdash Systems 2007 You have all the :hope in the world from me, mate!! Wish you 2007 to be your best punting year :ok P.S. Don't you just see from now on how this thread will be opened over 400,000 times and will have more that 2000 posts :lol