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Taunton 29/12/06


RussP

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Re: Taunton 29/12/06 As per my comments in the 'Specialisation' thread, there are 4 big field handicaps at Taunton today. My thoughts are below:- (ps, no posts tomorrow day as out AGAIN with the family:$ ) 12.40 Taunton BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Penny´s Crown, 5/1 Reelinga, Rightontime, 6/1 Little Rort, 7/1 Ikemba, 9/1 Astral Affair, 14/1 Oktis Morilious, Pop Gun, 16/1 Boom Or Bust, 20/1 Palamedes, Secret Travel, 25/1 Griffin´s Legacy, 40/1 Lawood. Form of the market principles is decidedly dodgy to say the least so I'll have to look further afield for a bet in this. POP GUN could be the one at very rewarding odds. Good jockey booking in 5lb claimer Andrew Glassonbury, and in-form jockey too with 25/1 and 11/1 handicap winners in the last 2 weeks. Add to that placed horses in handicaps at 11/1 and 12/1 from only 9 handicap rides in the last fortnight means we have the jockey to follow on top here. Very interesting that this horse is stepped up from 2m to 3m today and that could be the key here. 2 runs this season should have put this horse spot on and better ground should help. Current available @ 19.5 on Betfair. Have a bit EW on this horse. EW Selection:- POP GUN Forecast Perm:- POP GUN / PENNYS CROWN / RIGHTONTIME 1.15 Taunton BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Maclean, 4/1 Honor And Glory, 11/2 Castle Frome, 9/1 Bayazid, Westernmost, 10/1 Nemetan, 12/1 Karoo, Mobasher, 14/1 Mistified, 20/1 Past Heritage, 25/1 Rude Health, 33/1 Lavenoak Lad. WESTERNMOST is the EW selection here at around the 9/1 mark. Well treated over fences and on same mark as good 3rd over fences last week. Ran a cracking race then and the soft ground and lack of race fitness probably found out the horse. Featherweight today and back in novice handicap company. This horse seems to be on the upgrade unlike most of its rivals. EW Selection:- WESTERNMOST Forecast Perm:- WESTERNMOST / NEMETAN / HONOR AND GLORY 3.20 Taunton BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Master Mahogany, 7/1 Loita Hills, Sole Agent, 10/1 Dancer Life, Mr Aitch, 11/1 Coppermalt, Dominican Monk, The Grey Man, 14/1 Ile Facile, 16/1 Red Moor, 20/1 My Legal Eagle, 25/1 My Last Bean, 33/1 Trampoline King. COPPERMALT would be the tentative selection in a trappy heat. 12lb hike may be too much NO BET 3.50 Taunton BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Vingis Park, 11/2 Treasulier, 6/1 Tradingup, 8/1 Alcatras, Change Agent, Joe Deane, Just Reuben, 12/1 Caesarean Hunter, Classic Clover, Opportunity Knocks, 14/1 Fearless Mel, 25/1 Cotswold Rose, 33/1 Lowe Go. In a race full of claiming jockeys, TRADINGUP stands out with the man in the saddle who can do no wrong - no claim but no problem - Wayne Hutchinson. 8lb higher following win lto but clearly relishes a test of stamina. Should be coming full of running when others have cried enough if same patient waiting tactics are adopted. The extra weight may just stop this horse from winning but if you can get 6/1 or higher, should give you a cracking run for your money. EW Selection:- TRADINGUP Forecast Perm:- TRADINGUP / TREASULIER / ALCATRAS

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