Basketball: Euroleague Round 5

[expert]

Wednesday 22 November 2006
	Away	Home	BPP
Dynamo Moscow v Le Mans (17:15 GMT)	1.12	2.08	137%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result
Efes Pilzen v Olympiakos (18:15 GMT)	2.08	1.40	120%	Related markets...Money LineMatch ResultPoint Spread- - -Total PointsHandicap Result
Lottomatica RM v Joventud Badalona (19:45 GMT)	1.22	1.63	144%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result
Olimpia v Partizan Beograd (19:45 GMT)	1.36	1.47	142%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result
Tau Ceramica v VidiVici Bologna (19:45 GMT)	1.04	3.15	128%	Related markets...Money LineTotal Points
Thursday 23 November 2006
	Away	Home	BPP
Cibona v Maccabi Elite (18:00 GMT)	1.63	1.22	144%	Related markets...Money LineMatch ResultPoint Spread- - -Total PointsHandicap Result
Panathinaikos v Unicaja Malaga (18:45 GMT)	1.13	2.52	129%	Related markets...Money LineMatch ResultPoint Spread- - -Total PointsHandicap Result
Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow (18:45 GMT)	1.98	1.28	129%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result
Energie Cologne v Prokom Trefl (19:15 GMT)	1.22	1.63	144%	Related markets...Money LineMatch ResultPoint Spread- - -Total PointsHandicap Result
Barcelona v Ãœlker Istanbul (19:45 GMT)	1.03	3.35	127%	Related markets...Money Line- - -Match ResultHandicap Result
Benetton Treviso v Aris Thessaloniki (19:45 GMT)	1.12	2.10	137%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result
SS Napoli v Pau-Orthez (19:45 GMT)	1.22	1.63	144%	Related markets...Money LineMatch Result- - -Point SpreadHandicap Result

[expert]

Re: Basketball: Euroleague Round 5 Dynamo Moscow - Le Mans

Le Mans is personally for me the surprise package in this years Euroleague. A team that is not well known in Europe has begun its first EL experience in extraordinary way with 2-2 record, and with respectable win against one of the EL regulars Efes Pilsen in Istanbul. In last weeks round they were defeated at home by the Greek powerhouse Olympiakos by seven points (81-88), but you could say that only lack of experience at highest level cost them that defeat, as they were leading in the 3rd Q for 14 pts already. The team has, as most of the French teams, players with great athetlic and physical abilities and with Nicevič the excellent centre with very soft hand.

Matches in EL

Le Mans - Olympiakos Piraeus 81:88

Pilsen Istanbul - Le Mans 53:64

Prokom Trefl Sopot - Le Mans 69:67

Le Mans - Skipper Bologna 82:71

Current ULEB champions Dynamo Moscow didnt had the best starts of the EL, yes they won both home matches against less than impressive Skipper (0-4) and Cologne (1-3), and lost to Prokom and Tau Ceramica. IMO more was expected from a highly favoured Moscow team . They lost only twice in last yars ULEB cup (against Hapoel and against this weeks opponents Le Mans), which they won without too many problems.

Matches in EL

Prokom Trefl Sopot - Dynamo Moscow 60:49

Dynamo Moscow - Skipper Bologna 78:73

Tau Ceramica - Dynamo Moscow 77:61

Dynamo Moscow - RheinEnergy Cologne 75:68

Last years H2H

Dynamo Moscow vs. Le Mans 69-67

Le Mans vs Dynamo Moscow 76-70

Prediction:

At the time the odds and handicaps arent out yet, but looking at their current form and stats i would strongly consider to play Le Mans on the +5-pts handicap and also with the right odds straight away win. But to be fair the under which is expected to be at around 145 points is THE bet for this game. I consider that Le Mans will be going for physical match, and with their great defensive play (3rd in French league & 2nd in EL) the match should be a close affair So the bets are as follow.

Edit: just saw the early odds

Picks:

Le Mans +8 @ 1.9 Sportingodds 10/10

Le Mans straight win – matchresult @ 4.75 Sportingodds 2/10

Over/Under - pending… (would go for under at expected 145/150 total points)