Osesame Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Simple idea. Follow teams with current home strike rate of >79% but only if odds are >1.3 17/11 Reims -Istres 1.56 av bookies 1.66 bfair 18/11 Hajduk Split - HNK Rijeka 1.55 av bookies 18/11 Varteks Varazdin - HNK Zagreb 2.03 av bookies 18/11 Nancy- Troyes 1.54 av bookies 1.58 bfair 18/11 Zilina v Dubnica 1.35 av bookies 1.33 bfair 19/11 Austria Salzburg-Rapid Vienna 1.40 av bookies 1.45 bfair 19/11 Groningen v Willem II 1.48 av bookies 1.52 bfair 19/11 Ajax v Twente 1.37 av bookies 1.44 bfair 19/11 Xerez v Murcia 2.0 av bookies 2.06 bfair 19/11 St Gallen v Thun 1.49 av bookies ,market not formed fully for bfair 19/11 Fenerbahce v Besiktas 1.68 av bookies bfair 1.8 start bank 100 points stake 5 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. good luck Brian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Hey Osesame, good luck with this. Is the strike rate of >79% based on wins or points? If based on wins, 8 wins from 10 would be a qualifier. If based on points, 7 wins and 3 draws from 10 would be a qualifier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 16, 2006 Author Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. based on wins only Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Ok - GL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted November 16, 2006 Share Posted November 16, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Good luck Osesame. I done something similiar last year that worked rather well. I was doing teams with a 75%+ win record home or away(depending on that game) and opposing teams with a 75%+ loss record. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 17, 2006 Author Share Posted November 17, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. 2 more 18/11 Seville FC - FC Valencia 2.2 av.bookies 2.44 bfair 18/11 Genoa FC - Spezia 1906 1.45 av bookies 1.5 bfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 18, 2006 Author Share Posted November 18, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Prices taken so far **19.15 18/11 Hajduk Split - HNK Rijeka 1.55 av bookies 1.57 b365 **13.00 18/11 Varteks Varazdin - HNK Zagreb 2.03 av bookies 2.08 bfair **19.30 18/11 Nancy- Troyes 1.54 av bookies 1.58 bfair 1.77 bfair **12.00 18/11 Zilina v Dubnica 1.35 av bookies 1.33 bfair 1.33 bfair **21.00 18/11 Seville FC - FC Valencia 2.2 av.bookies 2.44 bfair 2.42 bfair **15.00 18/11 Genoa FC - Spezia 1906 1.45 av bookies 1.5 bfair 1.57 bfair **15.00 19/11 St Gallen v Thun 1.49 av bookies 1.57 bfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Additional match 16:00 19/11 FC Brno v Marila Pribram bookies 1.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. 2 more 16:00 19/11 Zaragoza v Gimnastic, bookies 1.4 bfair 1.44 20:00 19/11 Deportivo v Celta Vigo bookies 1.95 bfair 2.14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. and another 15:00 19/11 Metz v Ajaccio bookies 1.5 bfair 1.58 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. and another 17.00 19/11 Genk v Club Brugge bookies 2.1 bfair 2.16 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hayward2k Posted November 19, 2006 Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Any chance of showing the P/L so far??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. very bad will do for now:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 19, 2006 Author Share Posted November 19, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. bets 18 wins 8 losers 10 staked 90 return 70.53 yield -21.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 20, 2006 Author Share Posted November 20, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. just one for today 19:15 20/11 Karlsruhe v H Rostock av bookies 2.15 bfair 2.26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 20, 2006 Author Share Posted November 20, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Ht 3-0 Ft 4-4 :wall:wall:wall:wall bets 19 wins 8 losers 11 staked 95 return 70.53 yield -25.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 21, 2006 Author Share Posted November 21, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Probable home teams this week. LASK Linz Liverpool Hansa Rostock Kaiserslautern Twente Roosendaal Benfica Barcelona Valencia Getafe Almeria Real Murcia Zurich Deinze Urawa Hansa Rostock Kaiserslautern Brugg Walsall Manchester United Lyon Lille Ujpest Budapest Palermo Piacenza Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 24, 2006 Author Share Posted November 24, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Selections for today 17:00 24/11 Kaiserslautern v Augsburg av bookies 1.5 bfair 1.54 17:00 24/11 H Rostock v R-Weiss Essen av bookies 1.33 bfair 1.36 19:00 24/11 Roosendaal v Dordrecht av bookies 1.55 bfair 1.62 19.15 24/11 Twente Enschede av bookies 1.5 bfair 1.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 24, 2006 Author Share Posted November 24, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. bets 23 wins 11 losers 12 staked 115 return 93.03 yield -19.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 25, 2006 Author Share Posted November 25, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. selections for today 15:00 25/11 Walsall v Notts Co av bookie 1.73 bfair 1.91 15:00 25/11 Piacenza v Albinoleffe av bookie 1.85 bfair 1.98 17.30 25/11 Almeria v Xerez av bookie 2.4 bfair 2.36 19.00 25/11 Lille v Monaco av bookie 1.7 bfair 1.81 19.00 25/11 Barcelona v Villarreal av bookie 1.4 bfair 1.42 19.30 25/11 Benfica v Maritimo av bookie 1.4 bfair 1.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 25, 2006 Author Share Posted November 25, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Additional selection Belg2 20.00 25/11 Deinze v Dessel bookie av 2.15(no bfair) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. bets 30 wins 15 losers 15 staked 150 return 127.24 yield -15.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. Early match, more to follow 11:00 26/11 Real Murcia - Real Valladolid av bookie 2.25 bfair 2.48 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. 13:30 26/11 Groningen FC - ADO Den Haag av. bookie 1.33 bfair 1.35. 15:00 26/11 Zurich FC - Basel FC av. bookie 2.00 bfair 2.08. 16:00 26/11 Getafe CF - Levante UD av. bookie 1.75 bfair 1.83. 16:00 26/11 Manchester United - Chelsea FC av. bookie 2.5 bfair 2.7. 18:00 26/11 FC Valencia - Real Madrid av. bookie 2.7 bfair 2.94. 19:30 26/11 Palermo US - Inter Milan av. bookie 2.5 bfair 2.7 19:30 26/11 Club Brugge v Zulte-Waregem av. bookie 1.3 bfair 1.35. 20:00 26/11 Lyon v Auxerre av. bookie 1.3 bfair 1.36 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. From tomorrow will be including teams that have > 79% strike rate in their last six home matches.Once a team has been selected it remains in the system for at least 4 matches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 28, 2006 Author Share Posted November 28, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. update bets 39 wins 18 losers 21 staked 195 return 150.74 yield -22.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 28, 2006 Author Share Posted November 28, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. A filter is now applied if av.home odds >2.45 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 28, 2006 Author Share Posted November 28, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. 2 selections today 19:45 28/11 Preston North End - Coventry City av bookie 1.71 bfair 1.77 19:45 28/11 Colchester United - Hull City av bookie 1.89 bfair 1.98 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted November 29, 2006 Author Share Posted November 29, 2006 Re: Teams with high strike rate. update bets 41 wins 19 losers 22 staked 205 return 150.39 yield -26.66% Selections for today 20:00 29/11 Man Utd v Everton bookie av 1.305 bfair 1.33 20:00 29/11 Liverpool v Portsmouth bookie av 1.4 bfair 1.41 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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