Unconventional football betting theory

[spearchew]

This thought came to me earlier today, see what you think... Consider any football match; Chelsea vs Liverpool, for example. Start up football manager or some other complex management game. I haven't played this sort of game in a long time, but I assume it is possible to set up two teams in such a way that they reflect the players and formation of two teams playing against each other in reality. My half-baked theory is that, by simulating this game 100 times (or whatever large number you can think of), and observing the results, you might bet accordingly. Football management games are very complicated and take many things into account - so is it not possible that, in the event of a Chelsea vs Liverpool game simulated 100 times - if Chelsea win 75 times (30 of those times the score ends 2-1), it might prove telling in reality. If it so happens that Liverpool beat Chelsea 4-0 on the day, I wouldn't immediately throw away the idea - I would be more focused on the long term - hoping that the simluations bring me an edge over the bookies. (I forsee difficulty in setting up the games and repeating them 100 times to test said theory - not to mention substitutions that might change the game)). Is it such a rediculous idea? A friend of mine says its the stupidest thing he ever heard... Perhaps someone else has had the thought and put it into practice? Cheers.

[richards1986]

Re: Unconventional football betting theory As a long time user of football manager i salso agree with your mate. I have actually broken a laptop because i punched the screen when losing in the FA cup to Bristol City, not only that the amount of games i have been 3-0 up ad lost 4-3. Its a stupid game because when you play it enough you realise it is just a game, all the time i have a shite season but go on to win the carling cup so im in europe next year. I wouldnt use it personally but it sounds like fun.