NRL Round 22

[miguel_hamburglar]

Odds have just gone up, I'll do some analysis in a sec, there has been some good money in margin and line bets over the past few week so I'll try and pick a few:

Friday 4 August 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Parramatta Eels v St G-Illawarra Dragons (10:30 BST)	1.81	1.97	107%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time
Saturday 5 August 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
NZ Warriors v Cronulla Sharks (08:30 BST)	1.88	1.86	107%	Related markets...Match Result
Melbourne Storm v Wests Tigers (10:30 BST)	1.26	3.80	106%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time
North Qld Cowboys v Canterbury Bulldogs (10:30 BST)	2.44	1.47	110%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time
Sunday 6 August 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Canberra Raiders v Brisbane Broncos (05:30 BST)	2.02	1.74	107%	Related markets...Match ResultHalf-time/Full-time
South Sydney Rabbitohs v Penrith Panthers (06:00 BST)	2.54	1.43	110%	Related markets...Match Result
Sydney Roosters v Newcastle Knights (06:00 BST)	2.54	1.41	111%	Related markets...Match Result

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All odds checked since 07:09 BST

[miguel_hamburglar]

Re: NRL Round 22

Tip Detail

Sport	Rugby
Event	Nrl Round 22
Selection	Parramatta (-3.5)
Strength	8/10
Date	04/08/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Centrebet @ 2.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Last 5 games: Parramatta 5/5 St-George 2/5 (Lost to Storm, Raiders and Bulldogs) Last 5 Head 2 Head: Dragons 4 (2 Home, 2 Away) – Eels 1 (Home) Last 5 Home Games: Parramatta 4/5 (Lost to Storm-League leaders) Last 5 Away Games: St George 3/5 (Lost to Raiders and Sharks) These two teams are a bit up and down this season, ladder poition is quite large but they are only 4 points apart. The Eels are in great form after their bye, with 5 in a row. St-George are in OK form, narrowly going down to the Storm last week in a game they could have pinched with three minutes left on the clock. Both teams match up well, I see the difference this week being the injury to Mark Gasnier who has scored 15 times for St-George so far this season and has provided a lot of run in the middle of the park. Last meeting saw St-George win 8-1 at home in the rain, there are showers predicted for Friday night but nothing like there last meeting, the match prior to that in 2005 saw the Dragons win 25-22 at home. Form and the loss of Gasnier suggest that Parramatta will win and should cover the 4 points due to the lack of options St-George now have going forward.