LAY 0 - 0 Football Strategy

[thunderfoot]

LAYing the Draw then BACKing the Draw when the first goal has been scored is fine, in theory, but it can go against you if the un-favoured team scores first, as the Odds can go the 'wrong' way. So I've had a look at LAYing the 0 - 0 on the Correct Scores market. The theory is that no matter who scores the first goal you've won. Now, if a goal isn't scored by the time the BACK odds on the 0 - 0 Correct score get to a 'critical' level, whereby you can trade-out with a loss of your original LAY stake, then the theory is that you would take that loss BUT then make a LAY trade on an unlikely Correct Score of, say 3 - 3 (you'll probably need funds!!). I'm thinking that in the event of a goal not being scored, then it will take until about half-time for the BACK odds to reach the 'critical' level. If the scores go with you (i.e. a goal is scored), then my theory is that you make another LAY bet on the current score (i.e. hoping another goal is scored), and keep doing this but keeping an eye on the 'critical' level of the BACK odds so you always trade-out with just the loss of your original LAY stake, then make a LAY trade on an unlikely Correct Score. e.g. (1) 0 - 0; LAY odds = 9.4; stake £10; no goals scored and odds drop to 'critical' level of 4.7; (time into game probably about half-time) now make BACK bet to trade out with loss of -£10. Now look at the 'unlikely' Correct Scores and LAY £10 (or more if you feel confident ... & have the funds) on ,say 3 - 3 (if it's 0 - 0 at half time then it's unlikely that the final score will be 3 - 3). e.g. (2) 0 - 0; LAY odds = 9.4; stake £10; goal scored; £10 in the bank; Lay the current score for £10; goal scored; £10 in the bank; either stop at so many 'wins' or keep repeating the process until the BACK odds have reached the 'critical' level. Basically the theory being that if the game is still 0 - 0 when the 'critical' level has been reached, then it's unlikely that a high score is in the making. "What does the team think"? Does this sound reasonable? Could the strategy be 'tweaked'?

[thunderfoot]

Re: LAY 0 - 0 Football Strategy Working Example. Ecuador v Costa Rica Game Start 0 - 0 LAY £10 @ 9.40 - 'Critical' BACK odds 4.70 7 mins 1 - 0 Running Profit +£10.00 1 - 0 LAY £10 @ 7.60 - 'Critical' BACK odds 3.80 Half Time ... 1 - 0 BACK odds 4.30 50 mins 1 - 0; 'Critical' BACK odds reached; Traded-out with £10 loss. Running Profit £0.00 (LAY odds for 3 - 3 'Correct Score' not available) LAYed £10 on '5 goals or more' @ 39.00 Final Score 3 - 0 Running Profit £10.00