World Cup Lay Group Draws System

[davidc]

I've been lookling to develop a system for the World Cup and thought that there may be some potential in this. The average number of draws in the (1st) group stage over the last 5 World Cups is 26.95% with a high in 1998 of 33.33% and a low in 1990 of 19.45%. The average price for the draw for all group games (as shown @ www.betbase.info) is currently 3.99 which on the face of it could mean (if the bookies have got their sums right) that there may be some value in backing draws @ less than 4.0 but you would need a strike rate of better than 26.95% to acheive a profit. With this in mind the system will do the reverse and will be to lay all group draws with lay odds @ Betfair of 4.0 or more. I haven't done any back testing for previous World Cups and perhaps my logic is flawed but I will be placing bets (and keeping my fingers crossed :hope ) using this system. Simple system really - now lets hope that it works! Starting bank will be 100 points and all lays will be with 2 points liability.

[davidmphill]

Re: World Cup Lay Group Draws System Good luck David.:ok