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Rugby "Black Swan" System


DAC

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Basically, what I am doing is creating my own Arbs. The only way I can lose money is for a Black Swan Occurance. I am chosing good quality rugby teams playing average or low quality teams. I plan to bet on the handicap and use the resulting profit to create arbs on the winning margins Borders v Munster - Celtic League - Friday 29th April 2006 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Bet One: Munster -5 £20.00 @ 1.9 = £38.00 Target Profit £4.00

Stake Available For Margin Plan £14.00 Winning Margin Bets

Result Odds Stake Return Profit Stake left

Cap Draw 5.0 £1.45 £21.75 +£1.75 £12.55

M 1-5 5.5 £4.00 £22.00 +£2.00 £9.45

B 1-5 6.0 £3.45 £20.70 +£0.70 £8.75

B 6-10 7.0 £3.00 £21.00 +£1.0 £5.75

B 11-15 10.0 £2.20 £22.00 +£2.0 £3.55

B 16-20 17.0 £1.25 £21.25 +£1.25 £2.30

B 21-25 26.0 £0.85 £22.10 +£2.10 £1.45

B 26-30 41.0 £0.55 £24.60 +£4.60 £0.90

B 31-35 67.0 £0.33 £22.11 +£2.11 £0.57

B 36-40 101.0 £0.22 £22.22 +£2.2 £0.35

B 41-45 126.00 £0.18 £22.68 +2.68 £0.17

B 46-50 151 £0.17 £25.67 +2.57 £0.00

For the System to Fail I need Borders to Win by + 51 points If Munster beat the Handicapp my profit will be £4.00. (20%) I do plan to tweak the system as I go along. I have had a nightmare trying to get the columns right on this so excuse me if its a bit off
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Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System No matter what I do I cannot get the columns to match so the formula is impossible to understand. Forgive me and if I have to get the mods to delete the thread I will but in essence it's an ok idea. The winning margins are in the far left columns.

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