Rugby "Black Swan" System

[thunderfoot]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System or football ??

If anyone as a excel spreadsheet on how to work this out I will investigate the possibilities of this type of bet ie 10 games and you could double you money

I have just the thing .... use the 12 Selections version http://www.thunderfoot.f2s.com/betting/

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System Got some action at last - Ulster v Borders fits the bill today. Now to spend the next hour doing ridiculous sums.

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System Ulster v Borders £20 Ulster -15 @ 10/11 = £38.00 Stan James Target Profit for todays game: £4.00 (£2.00 surplus) Remaining stake for winning margin bets: £16.00 Cap Draw 41.00 x £0.55 @ Sporting Odds = £22.55 = £2.55 profit. £15.45 remaining for winning margin bets. Borders to win

William Hill Winning Margins 1-5 points @ 10.00 x £2.25= £22.50 = £2.25 profit. £13.20 remainiing 6-10 points @ 21.00 x £1.05 = £22.05 = £2.05 profit. £12.15 remaining 11-15 points @ 34 x £0.65 = £22.10 = £2.10 profit. £11.50 remaining. 16-20 points @ 51.00 x £.0.45 = £22.95 - £2.95 profit. £11.05 remaining 21-25 points @ 81.00 x £0.30 = £24.30 - £4.30 profit. £10.75 remaining. 26-30 points @ 126.00 x £0.20 = £25.20 - £5.20 profit. £10.55 Remaining 31-35 points @ 151.00 x £0.15 = £22.25 - £2.25 profit. £10.40 remaining Ulster to Win 1-5 points @ 9.50 x £2.40 = £22.80 - £2.80.00 profit. £8.00 remaining 6-10 points @ 7.5 x £3.00 = £22.50 - £2.50 profit. £4.75 remaining 11-15 points @ 6.5 x £3.50 = £22.75 = £2.75 profit. £2.00 remaining CAP COVERED

£2.00 Surplus The only way I can lose money is for the league leaders Ulster to lose at home to lowly Borders by over 35 points. Whilst the Borders are a much better team than most give credit for and they have an excellent team spirit they cannot and will not beat Ulster by seven converted tries http://www.celticleague.com/2_8.php

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System Ulster Won by a canter. Starting Bank: 100 Bets: 3 Wins:3 Returns: 10.00 Current Bank: 110.00

[raylin]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System Hi DAC im just quering your maths Your total outlay for the game is 36 pound .If the result is a draw then you would loose your 20 pound for the ulster win and also 15.45 on your other loosing bets your winning would be 22.55 which would give you a loss of 13.55 pounds Please tell me if my logic is incorrect regards raylin

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System

If the result is a draw then you would loose your 20 pound for the ulster win and also 15.45 on your other loosing bets your winning would be 22.55 which would give you a loss of 13.55 pounds

Hello mate - The Cap draw covers that eventuality: Cap Draw 41.00 x £0.55 @ Sporting Odds = £22.55 = £2.55 profit. £15.45 remaining for winning margin bets

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System I think I see what you mean though, if the game had finished 10-10 I would have lost, thanks for that, I can tweak my system to cover that though, I had a £2.00 surplus on the above game so I could have covered it. Thanks, I'll make sure it's covered for the next game. Paddy Power offers great odds on rugby draws

[raylin]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System Sorry dac you are missing the point All your bets are covering are the 20 pounds losing bet on ulster, whatever the outcome you should be covering the 20 pounds plus all your other losing bets in other words at least 36 pounds to make 2 pounds profit regards raylin

[DAC]

Re: Rugby "Black Swan" System You are right Raylin, I have missed the point.