AFL - Round 5

[Ashtee]

Event	Richmond v Carlton
Selection	Carlton
Strength	7/10
Date	28/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.32 (Back)
Reasoning	Carlton drop in class and get their chance here. Richmond should be tested after a nice win over a very mediocre opponent but are off a double traveller on just the 6-day break. Carlton have the full 7-day break and will regain some strength to their line up. I rate them the better playing squad (Rich: N. Brown unlikely + injuries) although Richmond may carry forward better morale. Carlton winless last three, so providing the hunger and motivation is up and Pagan sends them out well organised (a bit of undisciplined play crept in last week once the game appeared over) then they are a very solid chance indeed. Last weeks form-lines through Brisbane and Hawthorn are both being incorrectly assessed I believe, so I’m not surprised at all to see the overs on Carlton. My rating: Carlton 8/11

[Ashtee]

Re: AFL - Round 5

Event	Sydney v Geelong
Selection	Geelong
Strength	7/10
Date	29/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.92 (Back)
Reasoning	Geelong have lost the last two but the season intent is obviously heightened, as apparent by early form (despite injuries) and in just the one point loss to WBD, on paper a game they had no right to be so close. Kingsley may miss again, however Scarlett back is a huge in. Off LW they now have the opportunity to modify a makeshift line-up. Sydney, while fitness (just 6-day here) and skills will be improving, are yet to show the required amount of hunger. They are 1-3, so need a win yet could not overcome the injury ravaged Melbourne LW, so I cannot rate their chances enough over Geelong who surely will be switched on. My rating: Geelong 8/13