GaF Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Part I was HERE In Part II - same cards, same questions, BUT we now have a flop. WITHOUT using a calculator and WITHOUT looking at others comments and WITHOUT looking at other peoples votes answer the question below (and vote your answer in the poll) Afterwards - put down your best estimate of the percentage chance you believe you have against each of the 10 hands (in a post in this thread) - I will sum the total variances (don't worry about that too much - basically will get a score and lowest score wins) for each player and put results up here :ok !"- ,,,,,&,,,, You are dealt the cards above. The flop comes down: ???&???? +++++&++++ ;;;;;&;;;; What cards would your opponent be holding if you had a 46.465% chance of winning? 1)%^ ######'# 2){&} //////&/// 3){&} }}}}}&}}}} 4)!){ [}} 5)!){ ''''''&''' 6)//////&/// |||||&|||| 7)//////&/// ''''''&''' 8)''''''&''' ######'# 9)''''''&''' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
^Newbie^ Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II hmmm pocket 5s ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigmal76 Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II i went for pocket nines but i dont know very much Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Penelopeys Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II I will go with the J6, voted differently in the poll, but tried my calculator .... :unsure ... Muppet guess again??? klør 10 8 Flop: 9 5 6 10 7: 96.23 J 9: 35,769 J6: 46,465 AA: 26,076 A7: 36,692 99: 28 97: 31,846 77: 29,923 75: 31,846 55: 28 Can we have one next where turn and river is known... Maybe that will give me a chance to compete :tongue2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hedonist Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Any club or any 7 will win most of these hands so my guess is: 1. 99% 2. 51% 3. 75% 4. 46.465% 5. 43% 6. 46.465% 7. 60% 8. 65% 9. 55% 10. 46.465% Can't decide between No 4,6 or 10, they all seem to have 11 outs out of 47 cards remaining. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Masterplan Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II i'm staying clear of this one, post flop odds i havent worked on much i'll wait till the turn, then i'll know again :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaF Posted April 23, 2006 Author Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Well this is clearly a LOT harder than the preflop one!!!! Of the 7 guesses in the poll so far, noone has got the right answer!!!!!! Results from the 2 attempts so far....... Pene 20.28% Hedonist 13.33% Well done guys, just for being brave enough to attempt it :clap :clap Can't decide between No 4' date=6 or 10, they all seem to have 11 outs out of 47 cards remaining. Thing to bare in mind - these are clear outs to win it ....... 4, 6 and 10 are already leading - so if you don't hit one of your outs, then they win - so all the "neutral" cards are like "outs" for them (e.g. 2h, 3s etc) - but also some of the "outs" for these hands also complete your flush - so is a little harder than that........ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morlspin Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II 9's cos they made trips or the AA cos in my experience it would be runner runner clubs lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Penelopeys Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Results from the 2 attempts so far....... Pene 20.28% Hedonist 13.33% Well done guys, just for being brave enough to attempt it :clap :clap Jeeeeez, I actually thought I did better this time... :cry :cry ...ah well... at least I am brave :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Can't see the cards, just little crosses. :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaF Posted April 23, 2006 Author Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Can't see the cards' date=' just little crosses. :unsure[/quote'] How bizarre :unsure Noone else has reported the same problem ...........Uses the smilies cards..... (have you got images switched off in the UserCP? :unsure) Did "Know your odds Part 1" work ok for you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted April 23, 2006 Share Posted April 23, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II Strangely showing now. :eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rookie Posted April 25, 2006 Share Posted April 25, 2006 Re: Know your odds - Part II I picked set 4- Pocket Aces Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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