MLB 2006 Run Lines

[robby]

Since I tend to get too busy to post full reasonings for all of my MLB picks on the daily MLB threads, I figured that it would make more sense to start a free style system to post the picks in so I don't waste space with no reasoned picks. I tend to pick against the run line with a few overs here and there, it's free style and besides individual game research, I don't have a system per se. We'll see how it goes :loon

[robby]

Re: MLB 2006 Run Lines Start - 100pts Kansas City v New York - over 10.5 : 5pts @ 1.90 - Centrebet - I don't trust Chacon enough to take the small odds of -1.5 but there is a solid chance of overs. San Diego -1.5 v Florida : 5pts @ 2.25 - Centrebet - I believe in Young, even in Denver. Cincy + 1.5 v Cubs : 5pts @ 1.65 - Centrebet - Maddux may not be the best pitcher to go against, but they both will have to deal with the wind. Cincy is clearly hitting better than Chicago, so hopefully the ball will carry again. CWS v DET - under 8.5 : 5pts @ 1.90 - Centrebet - The wind, for the other reason. Its blowing in, and I don't see too much carry, and CWS has a high LOB count so far this year. End - 80pts W/L - P/L - Total Staked (Avg.) - 20pts (5pts) Yeild - Strike -

[davidmphill]

Re: MLB 2006 Run Lines GL with this robby.

[robby]

Re: MLB 2006 Run Lines Off to a solid start in the day games, will update the rest later. Cheers for the support David! Start - 80pts Sea v Cle -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.21 - Centrebet - meche has a shocking h2h against cle, and byrd has a great h2h against sea. bal -1.5 v tb : 5pts @ 2.17 - Centrebet - I'll back the form of Bal anyday v the rays tor v redsocks -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.35 - Centrebet - redsocks are on a roll oak -1.5 v min : 5pts @ 2.30 - Centrebet - min got lucky yesterday, not happening today col v arizona :5pts over 9.5 @ 1.93 - Centrebet - going against the odds because of both pitchers form phil v atlanta -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.71 - Centrebet - value bet on the run line, with phils start 2 run win @ 2.71 is worth a punt. mil v cards - 1.5 : 5pts @ 2.29 I think the cards can do it at home End - 45pts W/L - P/L - Total Staked (Avg.) - 11/55pts (5pts) Yeild - Strike -

[robby]

Re: MLB 2006 Run Lines Kansas City v New York - over 10.5 : 5pts @ 1.90 - Centrebet - I don't trust Chacon enough to take the small odds of -1.5 but there is a solid chance of overs. +9.5 San Diego -1.5 v Florida : 5pts @ 2.25 - Centrebet - I believe in Young, even in Denver. +11.25 Cincy + 1.5 v Cubs : 5pts @ 1.65 - Centrebet - Maddux may not be the best pitcher to go against, but they both will have to deal with the wind. Cincy is clearly hitting better than Chicago, so hopefully the ball will carry again. +0 CWS v DET - under 8.5 : 5pts @ 1.90 - Centrebet - The wind, for the other reason. Its blowing in, and I don't see too much carry, and CWS has a high LOB count so far this year. +9.5 Sea v Cle -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.21 - Centrebet +0 - meche has a shocking h2h against cle, and byrd has a great h2h against sea. bal -1.5 v tb : 5pts @ 2.17 - Centrebet +0 - I'll back the form of Bal anyday v the rays tor v redsocks -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.35 - Centrebet +0 - redsocks are on a roll oak -1.5 v min : 5pts @ 2.30 - Centrebet +0 - min got lucky yesterday, not happening today col v arizona :5pts over 9.5 @ 1.93 - Centrebet +0 - going against the odds because of both pitchers form phil v atlanta -1.5 : 5pts @ 2.71 - Centrebet +0 - value bet on the run line, with phils start 2 run win @ 2.71 is worth a punt. mil v cards - 1.5 : 5pts @ 2.29 +11.45 I think the cards can do it at home End - 86.70pts W/L - 4/7 P/L - -13.3 Total Staked (Avg.) - 11/55pts (5pts) Yeild - -24% Strike - 36%

[robby]

Re: MLB 2006 Run Lines Start - 86.70pts HOU (Pettitte) @ CIN (Harang) : 6pts @ 2.00 - Centrebet - Reds just may be too hot for Pettitte too WAS (Hernandez) @ STL (Carpenter) -1.5 : 6pts @ 1.85 - Centrebet - Carpenter isn't Marquis MIL (Davis) @ CHC (Rusch) - 1.5 : 6pts @ 2.77 - Centrebet - Value bet, 2.77 is worth a two run win. ARI (Cruz) @ SF (Hennessey) - 1.5 : 6pts @ 2.45 - Centrebet - Hennessey over a relief pitcher anyday. SEA (Hernandez) @ BAL (Chen) : 3pts @ 1.98 - Centrebet - BAL tend to back up Chen well, even though they are both winless, more of a bet against bullpens. End - 59.70pts