AFL - Round 3

[Ashtee]

Event	Port Adelaide v Fremantle
Selection	Fremantle
Strength	7/10
Date	16/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Centrebet @ 3.60 (Back)
Reasoning	Um … backing Fremantle in this. The market seems based on some unreliable results and that Tredrea and Wanganeen could return from injury. Two huge names, obviously! Tredrea may be better for the hit-out and certainly Wanganeen will still be short on preparation. Brogan is also some doubt, while Fremantle virtually have a full list. Exposed for midfield grunt by the Roos then the easy win over Sydney, but honestly, they had the bye such was Sydney’s non-input. Obviously there is concern regarding the Fremantle coaching status and I hold the belief that the issue is affecting player morale. A serious loss to Hawthorn then had Carlton beat by half time but failed to push the game out, much to the fury of many h’cap punters. I know of some who took them on a “one last chance†basis. I’ve been shy of them since they scalded me in the NAB Cup. However, now we see them at 3.60 in a ‘two horse race’. They are on 8-days rest. Player for player I rate them the fitter-better team. Were beaten for contested possesion in Rd-22 ‘05 AAMI after leading at half time, but I do feel Fremantle is suited by Port’s style of play. Fine weather ahead. My rating: Port 8/13, so I have no hesitation in taking the price on offer.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

[TazaD]

Re: AFL - Round 3 2 very unpredictable teams for me Ashtee...I agree it's a big price, but I think the your first sentence sums it up! ...Good luck mate. Looks an interesting week for me... ...Reckon I'll be on St. Kilda/Brisbane 'under' whatever it may be... ...Other than that, Collingwood look over the odds again @ 1.85! Will take Geelong -40.5 and/or Richmond +48.5 is I can get those numbers or better.