skin8 Posted March 12, 2006 Share Posted March 12, 2006 Anybody tried or heard about this system ? I checked it on paper and also used odds from past rounds on from some leagues , and its profitable on a long run. I think its also wise to leave alone "obvious" away wins . Also not to bet on a current round after none or 1 away wins in the previous. Any thoughts ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbi Posted March 12, 2006 Share Posted March 12, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. You need to be more selective - look at particular leagues or some other factor - otherwise i think in the long run you'll make a small loss. just leaving out away favourites is not necessarily a good idea - might increase your strike rate but these aren;t necessarily worse value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skin8 Posted March 12, 2006 Author Share Posted March 12, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. I made a simulation on 3 leagues (French 2, English Championship , Holland 2) of all rounds this year , all matches without excluding away favorites. Odds were taken from Betexplorer site. All 3 leagues proved to be profitable on the long run. Layed on paper to get 10 points ---> total avrg profit for round was about 20 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skin8 Posted March 13, 2006 Author Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. probably its not interesting at all.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. You still need to be specific other wise 'that day when all the outsiders win away' will happen and wipe out all your profits. There's a few threads on here that highlight away teams that don't win often. A couple, as examples, are: Times Newspaper Predictor Fleet's Trebles Both these threads highlight teams that could be worth laying, although the Fleet's Trebles one doesn't actually set out to do that.:dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbi Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. where did you get your lay odds from? are you using the ones from the bookmaker or betfair? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skin8 Posted March 13, 2006 Author Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. lay odds from Betfair. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbi Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. just checked my bookies odds database, these leagues look good for this (although no data for holland 2). check out germany 1 & italy a & b, they're all a little better than france 2. premiership is as good as championship for this but i dont think they're as good as the others mentioned. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skin8 Posted March 13, 2006 Author Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. the more stable leagues (unlike Holland 2) are good for the system. even lower English and some rounds lower Scotish. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikola Posted March 13, 2006 Share Posted March 13, 2006 Re: Laying all away teams. The Czech league has around 20% away wins in the last 5 years or so. Perhaps this could work for this league, but I guess finding good odds could be a challange. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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