German Breeds In Staying Hurdles

[numenorean]

Hi all. This is a free style system as described by datapunter. The reasoning behind the system is based on an article in the racing post weekender newspaper (08 / 02 / 06 to 12 / 02 / 06). Nick Mordin is the author he is their systems analyst. The reason i am posting this is that i have made a tidy bank for the big one next week from following the advice contained within the article. No credit can be taken by me all figures presented are taken directly from the article. The basic outline is this. 98% of flat horses bred outside of Germany in all the high profile breeding opperations and as result most of the lesser known ones too are all descended from 1 Horse. Phalaris. Phalaris was the The British sprint champion of 1915 - 1916 and his great great grandson was Northern Desert. Northern Desert greatly increased the speed in the thoroughbred pedigrees. German breeds were never bred from this stock due to the war. Their principle sire was Acatenango for most of this period. THE WHOLE POINT OF THIS IS SIMPLY THAT GERMAN BRED HORSES STAY BETTER. There has been altogether too much speed been bred in to jumps stalions in the UK. This is actually becoming more evident in the numbers of injuries occouring to horses recently. The flat horses are much slighter creatures than a proper bred chaser or hurdler for that matter. From the 2m 3f point on wards the germans extra stamina seems to be paying off and here is why. Now the system. If you had backed every german horse who ran over 2m4f in the Uk Ie GER after its name on the card over the last ten years, you would have placed 699 bets and won 112 of those bets. But to a level stake your profit turns out to be an alltogether amazing112.56 to a 1 pound stake. I was duly astonished by this.:ok So thats a good place to start but he goes on to narrow down a few parameters. I am not going to recant the entire article suffice to say that he basically defines a narrow band where the german performance is at its peak. This performance band is as follows back all german bred runners from 2m 3f to 2m 7f. If you had used this simple filter your total bets in 10 years would have been 199 with a total of 48 wins and a level stakes profit of152.1 with a performance rate of 24.1%. This is my first time to issue a system and as you can see its as easy as pie to follow. There is more to it though and further to be said on the benefits of betting certain breeds Newzealand for example. I am going to issue my first tips based on it for tommorows racing ie friday. I will leave a paper trail on this thread for all to follow. On a personal note here are some of the winners it has gleaned for me in the past few weeks. Olaso @ 8.00 / Silverio @ 13.00 / Nerone @ 3.5 / Our armageddon @ 15.00 / Felix rex E/W place 3rd behind gardessee Another german @ an astonishing 101.00 for felix rex thats 26.00 for the place Gardesee just failed as the 4/6 fav. So here it goes I will post the tips shortly. Please if anyone has any imput feel free to contact me about your comments and views. [email protected] Numen:ok

[numenorean]

Re: German Breeds In Staying Hurdles System Bank & 1st selections. The rules are as follows. Starting Bank = 100pts odds of 1.1 - 5.0 max win stake of 10pts will be played odds of 5.0 - 10.0 max stake of 5pts E/W will be played 10.00 - 20.00 3pts E/W will be played over 20.00 stakes of 2pts E/W will be applied. Non runner No bet. The first selection is for todays Sandown card. 3.50 Sandown Amanpuri @ 8.6 on Betfair 5pts e/w take the bookies early price. Further reasoning is that the fav Wee anthony won last time out in a poor contest on heavy ground ' lingfield where he had the race ran to suit with a 33/1 shot finishing second. Amanpuri on the other hand beat beat LEWIS ISLAND by a 1l margin and the progressive Hairy lemon back in third. That was over an inadequate 2m2f on the heavy and i feel this step up in trip is ideal. The second selection is 3.35 Ayr Ceasars Palace @12.00 on Betfair 3pts E/W Won 2 starts back in a decent 3m hurdle but failed to build on that in a hotter run race next time. Had the fancied silver seeker who ran today beaten 50 odd lengths on that day. Good luck to all ill be on with real cash though. Numen:unsure