Osesame Posted January 22, 2006 Share Posted January 22, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 24, 2006 Author Share Posted January 24, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sgt.Sunshine Posted January 24, 2006 Share Posted January 24, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting Weren't you backing short-priced away teams earlier in the season Osesame? How did it go? I have to say that IMO these figures prove nothing really - mostly very small sample sizes for each odds range, and of course there's nothing to say that the trend will continue (apart from the very short-priced matches due to the famed fav-longshot bias). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 24, 2006 Author Share Posted January 24, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting Was backing away faves under 1.8 for certain leagues .I checked a while ago and it was breaking even @average odds.Have not been backing them as funds were needed elsewhere. The table above shows a 5.7% yield for that range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted January 24, 2006 Share Posted January 24, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting I am showing a 9.4% yeild over the last 2 months (45 bets) with a similar strategy. The only refinements that I have is that the selected team must have a good recent head to head record against their opponents and be currently above them in the league (although it is unlikely that they would be odds on away from home if they were lower). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 24, 2006 Author Share Posted January 24, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting In total for the all away selections in the table stakesreturnsyield %199216.99 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 24, 2006 Author Share Posted January 24, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting The dip for 1.5-1.59 in the homes table comes as no surprise as a chap by the name of Gilward Kukel found the same for 3 seasons results about 3 years ago.The loss in the 1.4-1.49 could well be accounted for by the fact that this is all based on average odds i.e slightly lower than whichever bookie he used,and the losers mostly occurred in the 1.45 -1.49 range. The range 1.45-1.54 has a yield of -12% for 41bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 27, 2006 Author Share Posted January 27, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 28, 2006 Author Share Posted January 28, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting St Johnstone v Brechin1.28 ..generalPanathinaikos v IonikossunPartick v Forfar1.57@ p/powerPeterhead v Raith1.75 @VchandlerCatania v Bari1.65 Lads.Mantova v Piacenza1.85 Bfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Osesame Posted January 29, 2006 Author Share Posted January 29, 2006 Re: figures you might find interesting Panathinaikos v Ionikos 1.26 Bfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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