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Using a subset of data from football-data.co.uk.
Create a lookup table with home & away ratings each team.
Seed this table allocating 500 for each team home and away.
Define the last row of training immediately before games we wish to predict.
Add a column showing ABS() difference between rating prediction & actual result.
Add a column indicating whether rating H, D or A pred is correct (1) or not (0)
Use Solver to minimise the total error of the two added columns allowing a change to ratings within the range 300 - 700

I would have attached my example Excel file with the set-up, but it looks as though that's not allowed or possible

A rather poor substitute then are tonight's predictions.

Cardiff Burnley       4.2 3.4 1.9 -1   A
Hull Plymouth       1.62 3.6 5.75 1   H
Millwall Bristol City       2.75 3 2.75 0   D
Preston Swansea       2.38 3.2 3.1 0   D
                     
Blackpool Peterboro       2.05 3.6 3.3 0   D
Bolton Birmingham       3.9 3.25 1.95 0   D
Cambridge Stevenage       3 3.1 2.38 1   H
Charlton Barnsley       1.75 3.5 4.75 0   D
Huddersfield Wrexham       2.55 3.1 2.75 -1   A
Lincoln Crawley Town       1.71 3.4 4.75 0   D
Mansfield Wigan       2.15 3.2 3.3 0   D
Northampton Stockport       4.2 3.1 1.95 0   D
Rotherham Leyton Orient       2.3 3.3 3.1 0   D
Shrewsbury Bristol Rvs       1.91 3.25 3.9 0   D
Reading Exeter       1.73 3.8 4.5 2   H
Wycombe Burton       1.49 3.9 6 0   D
                     
Accrington Milton Keynes Dons       2.45 3.3 2.75 0   D
Bradford Cheltenham       1.62 3.6 5.75 1   H
Bromley Doncaster       3.5 3.3 2.05 -1   A
Carlisle Walsall       3.3 3.4 2.1 -1   A
Colchester Chesterfield       1.95 3.4 3.7 1   H
Crewe Fleetwood Town       2.3 3.2 3.1 1   H
Grimsby Tranmere       1.75 3.5 4.75 2   H
Morecambe AFC Wimbledon       3.4 3.2 2.15 -1   A
Newport County Gillingham       3.75 3.25 2 1   H
Notts County Barrow       1.65 3.7 5 1   H
Port Vale Harrogate       1.83 3.2 4.75 0   D
Swindon Salford       2 3.25 3.8 0   D

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