Data Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Using a subset of data from football-data.co.uk. Create a lookup table with home & away ratings each team. Seed this table allocating 500 for each team home and away. Define the last row of training immediately before games we wish to predict. Add a column showing ABS() difference between rating prediction & actual result. Add a column indicating whether rating H, D or A pred is correct (1) or not (0) Use Solver to minimise the total error of the two added columns allowing a change to ratings within the range 300 - 700 I would have attached my example Excel file with the set-up, but it looks as though that's not allowed or possible A rather poor substitute then are tonight's predictions. Cardiff Burnley 4.2 3.4 1.9 -1 A Hull Plymouth 1.62 3.6 5.75 1 H Millwall Bristol City 2.75 3 2.75 0 D Preston Swansea 2.38 3.2 3.1 0 D Blackpool Peterboro 2.05 3.6 3.3 0 D Bolton Birmingham 3.9 3.25 1.95 0 D Cambridge Stevenage 3 3.1 2.38 1 H Charlton Barnsley 1.75 3.5 4.75 0 D Huddersfield Wrexham 2.55 3.1 2.75 -1 A Lincoln Crawley Town 1.71 3.4 4.75 0 D Mansfield Wigan 2.15 3.2 3.3 0 D Northampton Stockport 4.2 3.1 1.95 0 D Rotherham Leyton Orient 2.3 3.3 3.1 0 D Shrewsbury Bristol Rvs 1.91 3.25 3.9 0 D Reading Exeter 1.73 3.8 4.5 2 H Wycombe Burton 1.49 3.9 6 0 D Accrington Milton Keynes Dons 2.45 3.3 2.75 0 D Bradford Cheltenham 1.62 3.6 5.75 1 H Bromley Doncaster 3.5 3.3 2.05 -1 A Carlisle Walsall 3.3 3.4 2.1 -1 A Colchester Chesterfield 1.95 3.4 3.7 1 H Crewe Fleetwood Town 2.3 3.2 3.1 1 H Grimsby Tranmere 1.75 3.5 4.75 2 H Morecambe AFC Wimbledon 3.4 3.2 2.15 -1 A Newport County Gillingham 3.75 3.25 2 1 H Notts County Barrow 1.65 3.7 5 1 H Port Vale Harrogate 1.83 3.2 4.75 0 D Swindon Salford 2 3.25 3.8 0 D Quote
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