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IT'S ALL ABOUT THE MATHS


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Question : How many times have you considered two or three horses in a race and backed the wrong one ?

Answer : We all have and here's the solution.

I have been one of those thousands of punters who has tried for the last 50 + years to win money from the bookies.

After donating to their pensions for all those years i decided it was time to try to turn the odds in my favour. I believe I have now achieved that.

I have developed a betting plan that regularly gives me well over a 50% strike rate.

As long as you rigidly stick to some simple rules you will quickly start to make a profit We will be backing the first 3 horses in the betting of each race.

Rule 1.

The betting forecast favourite must be 2/1 or bigger.

Rule 2

There must be at least a 2 points gap between the 3rd favourite and fourth favourite. .

This is where the maths comes in.......let me give you an example

Betting forecast 3/1 Bonnie and Clyde, 4/1 Spirit of St. Louis, 5/1 Run a mile, 7/1 Escapologist, 8/1 Lightning Linda 10/1 bar

As you will see there is a 2 point gap between the third and fourth favourite (5/1 & 7/1)

Multiply the odds of the first three in the betting ie. 3 x 4 x 5 = 60 then divide the three numbers by the 60  eg 60/3 = 20, 60/4=15, 60/5=12 

Therefore our stakes would be as follows: 20 points win Bonnie & Clyde,

                                                                   15 points win Spirit of St.Louis

                                                                   12 points win Run a Mile

Total stakes = 47 points

If Bonnie & Clyde wins we win 20 x 3/1 = 60 points less 27 points losses = 33 points profit

If Spirit of St. Louis wins we win 15 x 4 = 60 points less 32 points loss = 28 points profit

If Run a Mile wins we win 12 x 5 = 60 points less 35 points loss = 25 points profit.

 

As you will see whichever horse wins we win the same gross profit and despite inevitably having two losers we make a net profit

 

At the time of writing these would be the qualifying races today.

4.10 Catterick

Bal De Rio 11/4 

Italian Riviera 7/2

Kittileo 4/1

 

5.25 Yarmouth

La Isla Bonita 11/4

Shyjack 11/4

Chetan 3/1

 

 

 

 

 

 

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