Championship SAM O-U 2.5 goals

[justanotherpunter]

I have been encouraged by Grex's SAM system to start  a thread based loosely on the SAM numbers published on the BBC for the Championship games.
I applied the published numbers on the Sheff Wed v Wolves match last night and I was rewarded with a Wolves win and 0-1 score forecast.
I will attempt to forecast Over-Under 2.5 goals with the published numbers using my own completely untested version and also using recent and historical match results.
I will use a stake of £1.00 for all matches and a starting bank of £0.00 to see if the Sheff Wed match was a fluke result or if there is any merit in this.
As stated this is completely untested so use with caution if planning to follow with hard cash.
I will use bet365-Betfair and Betdaq to place these matches for now-
Todays selections

Saturday                                                                               Odds Stake win/lose
16/12/2017 Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF
16/12/2017 Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF
16/12/2017 Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.54 £1.00 £0.54        BD
16/12/2017 Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.72 £1.00 £0.72        BD
16/12/2017 Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals  27/20 £1.00 £1.35        365
16/12/2017 Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Over 2.5 goals      1/1 £1.00 £1.00        365
16/12/2017 Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals  21/20 £1.00 £1.05        365
16/12/2017 Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Over 2.5 goals   13/10 £1.00 £1.30        365
16/12/2017 Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.86 £1.00 £0.86        BF
16/12/2017 Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Under 2.5 goals  2.06 £1.00 £1.06        BF
16/12/2017 Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Over 2.5 goals    9/10 £1.00 £0.90        365

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                               Odds Stake win/lose
Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF 1-2 lost £1.00
Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF 0-1 won £0.72
Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.54 £1.00 £0.54        BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.72 £1.00 £0.72        BD 2-1 won £0.68
Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals  27/20 £1.00 £1.35        365 2-0 lost £1.00
Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Over 2.5 goals      1/1 £1.00 £1.00        365 2-0 lost £1.00
Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals  21/20 £1.00 £1.05        365 1-0 lost £1.00
Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Over 2.5 goals   13/10 £1.00 £1.30        365 2-1 won £1.30
Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.86 £1.00 £0.86        BF 1-0 won £0.82
Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Under 2.5 goals  2.06 £1.00 £1.06        BF 1-0 won £1.02
Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Over 2.5 goals    9/10 £1.00 £0.90        365 1-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 5 - total matches lost = 6

Total won = £4.54 - total lost = £6.00 - total lost = £1.46

Bank £0.00

Selections 11

Won 5

Lost 6

Total lost £1.46

New Bank -£1.46