Championship SAM O-U 2.5 goals

[justanotherpunter]

I have been encouraged by Grex's SAM system to start  a thread based loosely on the SAM numbers published on the BBC for the Championship games.
I applied the published numbers on the Sheff Wed v Wolves match last night and I was rewarded with a Wolves win and 0-1 score forecast.
I will attempt to forecast Over-Under 2.5 goals with the published numbers using my own completely untested version and also using recent and historical match results.
I will use a stake of £1.00 for all matches and a starting bank of £0.00 to see if the Sheff Wed match was a fluke result or if there is any merit in this.
As stated this is completely untested so use with caution if planning to follow with hard cash.
I will use bet365-Betfair and Betdaq to place these matches for now-
Todays selections

Saturday                                                                               Odds Stake win/lose
16/12/2017 Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF
16/12/2017 Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF
16/12/2017 Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.54 £1.00 £0.54        BD
16/12/2017 Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.72 £1.00 £0.72        BD
16/12/2017 Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals  27/20 £1.00 £1.35        365
16/12/2017 Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Over 2.5 goals      1/1 £1.00 £1.00        365
16/12/2017 Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals  21/20 £1.00 £1.05        365
16/12/2017 Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Over 2.5 goals   13/10 £1.00 £1.30        365
16/12/2017 Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.86 £1.00 £0.86        BF
16/12/2017 Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Under 2.5 goals  2.06 £1.00 £1.06        BF
16/12/2017 Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Over 2.5 goals    9/10 £1.00 £0.90        365

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                               Odds Stake win/lose
Birmingham v QPR           3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF 1-2 lost £1.00
Bolton v Burton                 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.76 £1.00 £0.76        BF 0-1 won £0.72
Brentford v Barnsley         3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.54 £1.00 £0.54        BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Bristol City v Notts Forest 3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.72 £1.00 £0.72        BD 2-1 won £0.68
Derby v A Villa                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals  27/20 £1.00 £1.35        365 2-0 lost £1.00
Ipswich v Reading            3.00 Over 2.5 goals      1/1 £1.00 £1.00        365 2-0 lost £1.00
Leeds v Norwich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals  21/20 £1.00 £1.05        365 1-0 lost £1.00
Millwall v Middlesbrough  3.00 Over 2.5 goals   13/10 £1.00 £1.30        365 2-1 won £1.30
Preston v Sheff Utd          3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.86 £1.00 £0.86        BF 1-0 won £0.82
Sunderland v Fulham       3.00 Under 2.5 goals  2.06 £1.00 £1.06        BF 1-0 won £1.02
Cardiff v Hull                     5.30 Over 2.5 goals    9/10 £1.00 £0.90        365 1-0 lost £1.00

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 5 - total matches lost = 6

Total won = £4.54 - total lost = £6.00 - total lost = £1.46

Bank £0.00

Selections 11

Won 5

Lost 6

Total lost £1.46

New Bank -£1.46

[justanotherpunter]

Todays selection

Friday                                                                           Odds Stake Win
22/12/2017 Norwich v Brentford 7.45 Over 2.5 goals  1.72 £1.00 £0.72    BF

[justanotherpunter]

Saturday                                                                                  Odds  Stake  Win
23/12/2017 Bolton v Cardiff                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.32 £1.00 £1.32 BF
23/12/2017 Derby v Millwall                  3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.73 £1.00 £0.73 BF
23/12/2017 Fulham v Barnsley             3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.67 £1.00 £0.67 BF
23/12/2017 Leeds v Hull                       3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.92 £1.00 £0.92 BF
23/12/2017 Preston v Notts Forest       3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.00 £1.00 £1.00 BF
23/12/2017 QPR v Bristol City              3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.90 £1.00 £0.90 BF
23/12/2017 Reading v Burton               3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.80 £1.00 £0.80 BF
23/12/2017 Sunderland v Birmingham 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.69 £1.00 £0.69 BF
23/12/2017 Wolves v Ipswich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.80 £1.00 £0.80 BF
23/12/2017 A Villa v Sheff utd              5.30 Over 2.5 goals    2.28 £1.00 £1.28 BF
23/12/2017 Sheff Wed v Middlesbrough 3.00 no numbers given

[justanotherpunter]

Friday                                                                    Odds Stake Win
Norwich v Brentford            7.45 Over 2.5 goals  1.72 £1.00 £0.72    BF 1-2 won £0.68

Saturday                                                               Odds  Stake  Win
Bolton v Cardiff                  3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.32 £1.00 £1.32 BF 2-0 lost £1.00
Derby v Millwall                  3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.73 £1.00 £0.73 BF 3-0 lost £1.00
Fulham v Barnsley             3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.67 £1.00 £0.67 BF 2-1 won £0.64
Leeds v Hull                       3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.92 £1.00 £0.92 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
Preston v Notts Forest       3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.00 £1.00 £1.00 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
QPR v Bristol City              3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.90 £1.00 £0.90 BF 1-1 lost £1.00
Reading v Burton               3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.80 £1.00 £0.80 BF 1-2 lost £1.00
Sunderland v Birmingham 3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.69 £1.00 £0.69 BF 1-1 won £0.66
Wolves v Ipswich               3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.80 £1.00 £0.80 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
A Villa v Sheff utd              5.30 Over 2.5 goals    2.28 £1.00 £1.28 BF 2-2 won £1.22
Sheff Wed v Middlesbrough 3.00 no numbers given

Total matches played = 11 - total matches won = 4 - total matches lost = 7

Total won = £3.20 - total lost = £7.00 - total lost = £3.80

Bank -£1.46

Selections 22

Won 9

Lost 13

Total lost £3.80

New Bank -£5.26

[justanotherpunter]

Todays matches -

Friday                                                                      Odds Stake Win
29/12/2017 Cardiff v Preston 7.45 Over 2.5 goals  2.22 £1.00 £1.22 BD
29/12/2017 Millwall v QPR     7.45 Over 2.5 goals  2.14 £1.00 £1.14 BF

Saturday to follow -

[justanotherpunter]

Saturdays matches -

Saturday                                                                                   Odds Stake Win
30/12/2017 Barnsley v Reading            3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.78 £1.00 £0.78 BF
30/12/2017 Birmingham v Leeds           3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.66 £1.00 £1.66 BF
30/12/2017 Brentford v Sheff Wed        3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.69 £1.00 £0.69 BD
30/12/2017 Burton v Norwich                3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.24 £1.00 £1.24 BD
30/12/2017 Hull v Fulham                     3.00 Over 2.5 goals     1.77 £1.00 £0.77 BD
30/12/2017 Ipswich v Derby                  3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.79 £1.00 £0.79 BD
30/12/2017 Middlesbrough v A Villa     3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.42 £1.00 £1.42 BD
30/12/2017 Notts Forest v Sunderland 3.00 Under 2.5 goals   2.06 £1.00 £1.06 BF
30/12/2017 Sheff Utd v Bolton              3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.00 £1.00 £1.00 BD
30/12/2017 Bristol City v Wolves          5.30 Over 2.5 goals     2.12 £1.00 £1.12 BF

[justanotherpunter]

Friday                                                                    Odds Stake Win
Cardiff v Preston                7.45 Over 2.5 goals    2.22 £1.00 £1.22 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Millwall v QPR                    7.45 Over 2.5 goals    2.14 £1.00 £1.14 BF 1-0 lost £1.00

Saturday                                                                Odds Stake Win
Barnsley v Reading            3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.78 £1.00 £0.78 BF 1-1 Won £0.74
Birmingham v Leeds           3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.66 £1.00 £1.66 BF 1-0 lost £1.00
Brentford v Sheff Wed        3.00 Over 2.5 goals    1.69 £1.00 £0.69 BD 2-0 lost £1.00
Burton v Norwich                3.00 Over 2.5 goals    2.24 £1.00 £1.24 BD 0-0 lost £1.00
Hull v Fulham                     3.00 Over 2.5 goals     1.77 £1.00 £0.77 BD 2-2 won £0.73
Ipswich v Derby                  3.00 Under 2.5 goals  1.79 £1.00 £0.79 BD 1-2 lost £1.00
Middlesbrough v A Villa     3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.42 £1.00 £1.42 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Notts Forest v Sunderland 3.00 Under 2.5 goals   2.06 £1.00 £1.06 BF 0-1 lost £1.00
Sheff Utd v Bolton              3.00 Over 2.5 goals     2.00 £1.00 £1.00 BD 0-1 lost £1.00
Bristol City v Wolves          5.30 Over 2.5 goals     2.12 £1.00 £1.12 BF 1-2 won £1.06

Total matches played = 12 - total matches won = 4 - total matches lost = 8

Total won = £3.54 - total lost = £8.00 - total lost = £4.46

Bank -£5.26

Selections 34

Won 13

Lost 21

Total lost £4.46

New Bank -£9.72

I will be closing this thread now as it seems to be heading in one direction - downwards - and the time involved to cover these matches is too long to justify carrying on with it.