Would this work

[sfc7603]

Hi everyone, I want to try something but wondered what peoples thoughts were first. What I want to try is to put £500 on a treble which includes 3 strong favourites who I feel are certs to win with odds around 1/3 or 1/4, however the return must be double my stake give or take a few quid. If I win I would then do the same again only this time the bet would be £1000. If I won this time I would do it once more with a bet of £2000 and would then withdraw the £4000 and start over again. What are peoples thoughts? Does this seem realistic? Thanks.

Steve.

[MPLouis]

Hi everyone, I want to try something but wondered what peoples thoughts were first. What I want to try is to put £500 on a treble which includes 3 strong favourites who I feel are certs to win with odds around 1/3 or 1/4, however the return must be double my stake give or take a few quid. If I win I would then do the same again only this time the bet would be £1000. If I won this time I would do it once more with a bet of £2000 and would then withdraw the £4000 and start over again. What are peoples thoughts? Does this seem realistic? Thanks.

Steve.

HI sfc7603,

Turn it around and ask yourself if you would offer odds of 1/3 or 1/4 on outcomes you regarded as 'certs'? You probably wouldn't would you? In general the bookmaker offering the odds would offer you the odds they thought reflected the true chance, with some built-in profit margin for themselves of course.

So the profitability or otherwise of the adventure would hinge on you picking individual bets where the odds were in your favour, i.e. that the odds were definably better than they should be. If you can find three short-priced single bets where the true chance is, say, 1/10, and you can bet at 1/4, and then combine these in a multiple, then, yes - it will work. I think it's easy to fool yourself that the odds are better than they should be though. Unless you've got money to burn, £500 seems a lot to risk on an untried betting idea.