Arsenal's Flat Bets

[arsenalfh]

The Horses to Follow wasn't really working out as I was only backing half of them which was not really the aim of the thread. Maybe next year I'll put together a list of 10 horses at most to follow over the season. Totals will be up tomorrow. I wanted some place to share my selections so I'm going to give it a go here. Again bets will be 1pt Win or 0.5pts Each-way with no starting bank. Fingers crossed for some good results.

[arsenalfh]

Re: Arsenal's Flat Bets 7:45 Sandown - Group 3 This looks a really good renewal headed in the market by the eye catching Easter Classic winner Tryster. He showed a frightening change of pace to beat Complicit close to home and if he can translate that ability to the turf he's sure to be in for a good season. This is a step up in class though and it remains to be seen whether he is as effective on turf so looks a little short at 9/4 in a strong race. Arab Spring beat some good yardsticks in Pether's Moon and Romsdal on his reappearance last month and although he should come on for that he's only rated 112 and much more is needed here against potential Group 1 performers carrying a 3lb penalty. The step back to 10f is also a concern in my eyes. Gosden sends two here led by Eagle Top who is the choice of Frankie Dettori. He was an impressive winner of a strong King Edward VII at Royal Ascot when he beat subsequent Group 1 winner Adelaide by 3 and a quarter lengths with future Group 2 winner Snow Sky in 4th. He showed some serious speed to come right from the back to win so comfortably in the heat of the Royal meeting on only his 3rd start and looked very much a Group 1 winner in the making. He was beaten 4 and 3/4 lengths by Taghrooda in the King George but she was very much a superstar and was only 2L behind the high class Telescope and Mukhadram. However he is likely to be best at 12f. Western Hymn is the other Gosden runner and he is very much at home over this trip. I thought he was quite impressive when beating Postponed last time as he didn't do a thing when hitting the front. Postponed then went on to frank the form at the Curragh in the Tattarsalls Gold Cup so it looked a good performance. He was once a big Derby contender and has definitely improved over the winter after being gelded so he looks to have strong claims. There is a question mark about the quick ground but he improved on better ground last time and seems to be just a very good horse. Tullius was workmanlike on his reappearance and was well beaten by Western Hymn last time so he's possibly past his best and Niceofyoutotellme looks more like a handicapper although his reappearance was encouraging. There's no likely pace setter here so the stoutly bred Arab Spring may find Tryster and Eagle Top too quick for him if it turns into a sprint who have both shown a strong turn of foot. Western Hymn looks a danger but I think Frankie's decision to side with EAGLE TOP says a lot about his chances. He has the best form in the book, will love the quick ground and without a penalty has the turn of foot to win this if it turns into a sprint. EAGLE TOP - 1pt Win @ 4/1 Skybet