Sheerluck Holmes Posted May 25, 2015 Author Share Posted May 25, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Was right to oppose the favourite at Carlisle yesterday, but did it with the wrong one. With that in mind, I'm splitting stakes in the first race I've looked at tomorrow .. 3.30 Leicester Noodles Blue Boy 0.5pt Win @ 10/3 BetVictor Groundworker 0.5pt Win @ 7/2 BetVictor 4.50 Redcar Rozene 1pt Win @ 5/2 Coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted May 29, 2015 Author Share Posted May 29, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Decent card down the road tomorrow. Unfortunately I've got to visit the in-laws. :( Have played in the first 4 races ... 1.45 York Dusky Queen 0.5pt Win @ 10/1 BetVictor Rene Mathis 0.5pt Win @ 10/1 BetVictor 2.20 York Clever Cookie 1pt Win @ 7/2 Bet365 2.55 York Kingsgate Choice 0.5pt E/W @ 22/1 Bet365 3.30 York Emerahldz 1pt Win @ 12/1 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 1, 2015 Author Share Posted June 1, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season A small profit on Saturday, thanks to Clever Cookie which sees a decent profit for May. Looking forward to June's action ... [TABLE=width: 247] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]01 June 2015[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD]86[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Placed (E/W)[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD]82.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD]+14.97[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD]11.6%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield[/TD] [TD]18.3%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mar & Apr[/TD] [TD]+2.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]May[/TD] [TD]+12.36[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 2, 2015 Author Share Posted June 2, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season A new month, here's hoping it's a decent one ... 8.10 Ripon This looks a super competitive field so am taking two against the field, both should find this easier than recent assignments and both are on very workable marks. See The Sun 0.5pt Win @ 5/1 BetVictor Fast Shot 0.5pt Win @ 12/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 5, 2015 Author Share Posted June 5, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Busy week, but looking forward to watching the racing tomorrow and three sprints have got some of my money wrapped up in them ... 3.45 Epsom Perfect Muse 0.5pt E/W @ 10/1 Bet365 5.25 Musselburgh Distant Past 1pt Win @ 2/1 PaddyPower 6.30 Lingfield Whitecrest 1pt Win @ 9/2 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 6, 2015 Author Share Posted June 6, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Decent day today, Perfect Muse didn't really show but wins for Distant Past and a somewhate lucky Whitecrest give a tidy profit. Just one for tomorrow ... 3.30 Goodwood This is a lot easier than many of the races the 6yo has contested and although there's a slight concern over the ground and draw, I'm hoping for a big run. Fairway to Heaven 1pt Win @ 8/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 7, 2015 Author Share Posted June 7, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Fairway to Heaven flew home today but just didn't quite get up ... One for lucky last at Pontefract tomorrow ... 9.10 Pontefract A chance is taken with unexposed Jan Van Hoof who has only had 3 racecourse starts, but latterly winning a maiden at Wolverhampton, a race that has worked out pretty well. He acts on the ground (2nd at Newcastle over 5f) and that performance was also after a break, so the 5/1 currently on offer with Bet365 looks good value. Jan Van Hoof 1pt Win @ 5/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RussP Posted June 7, 2015 Share Posted June 7, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Good stuff mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Thanks mate. Decent result tonight too, thanks to best odds guaranteed! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 8, 2015 Author Share Posted June 8, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season So, Jan Van Hoof won really well in the end which certainly wasn't expected after it had drifted all day. Just the one for tomorrow and hoping I can keep my winning run going ... 3.25 Salisbury A chance is taken with the Ron Harris trained Aussie Ruler, who whilst being a 9 race maiden, has some good bits of form to his name. For the first time, a 7lb claimer takes the ride today and he's been dropped another 5lbs which should make him competitive. The trainer won this last year with a similar type of horse and at double the odds of some of his competitors, I'm willing to back him and see what happens. Aussie Ruler 1pt Win @ 11/1 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 9, 2015 Author Share Posted June 9, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season 5.20 Brighton At 13/2, Pucon looks the one to be on in the last at Brighton. The 6yo is 1lb lower than her last winning mark and will find conditions ideal. Eased in grade and with a good draw for a front runner in stall 1. Pucon 1pt Win @ 13/2 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 11, 2015 Author Share Posted June 11, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Was planning on going to the Knavesmire tomorrow afternoon but my son has a habit of falling ill every time I plan a trip, so it's a watching brief only ... 2.30 York Monaleen 1pt Win @ 6/1 Bet365 3.40 York He's No Saint 1pt Win @ 9/1 BetVictor 4.10 York Willbeme 0.5pt Win @ 4/1 Bet365 Ridge Ranger 0.5pt Win @ 5/1 Coral 4.40 York Gambol 0.5pt E/W @ 14/1 Bet365 5.15 York Interconnection 1pt Win @ 7/2 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 12, 2015 Author Share Posted June 12, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Terrible day on Friday, hoping Saturday is kinder ... 2.35 York Heaven's Guest 0.5pt E/W @ 16/1 Bet365 3.10 York Hors De Combat 1pt Win @ 4/1 BetVictor 3.25 Mussleburgh Demora 0.5pt E/W @ 9/1 Bet365 (5 places) 3.45 York Burnt Sugar 0.5pt E/W @ 25/1 Bet365 (5 places) Squats 0.5pt E/W @ 33/1 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 13, 2015 Author Share Posted June 13, 2015 Re: Jorvik's 2015 Flat Season Absolutely shocking couple of days! Back on the horse though with a couple of types who are eased in grade, and who both look to have decent chances, one a bit more than the other ... 2.00 Salisbury Smoothtalkinrascal 1pt Win @ 5/1 BetVictor 4.15 Doncaster York Glory 0.5pt E/W @ 25/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 27, 2015 Author Share Posted June 27, 2015 Have had a bit of an enforced sabbatical but it's a beautiful day and fancy losing a few quid on some beautiful animals ... 2.30 Chester A really tight sprint handicap, but one which can go to Seve, the least exposed in the field. The 3yo won a maiden on debut over C&D and then wasn't disgraced NTO in a big handicap at York. Didn't get the 6f LTO so the drop back to 5f should she him super competitive. Fair draw and trainer in decent nick. Captain Dunne looks the danger. Seve 1pt Win @ 11/2 Paddy Power 4.50 Chester Like the other sprint, this looks difficult to decipher. However, in one of those nice coincidences that racing throws up, I'm backing Ballesteros to follow up Seve. Ignoring his run LTO which was over 6f from a tough draw, this represents a significant drop in class and back at 5f from a slightlt better draw, looks the one to be on. Ballesteros 1pt Win @ 15/2 BetVictor 6.15 Chester Can't be having Mossgo who although in a rich vein of form, winning 3 on the bounce on the AW here, he's upped in grade, is 1/14 on turf and 0/7 on GF. Preference therefore is for Pucon who will find conditions fine, is on a winnable mark and llike Mossgo, goes well round here. Pucon 1pt Win @ 10/3 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 28, 2015 Author Share Posted June 28, 2015 Pucon won nicely yesterday to give us a small profit on the day ... Couple of sprints tomorrow to look at ... 3.30 Pontefract Sleeping Apache looks to have the best chance but at 5/2 is too short. A chance is therefore taken on the David O'Meara trained State Of The Union. I'm forgiving him his run LTO (upped in grade over 6f on GS) and hoping that dropping back to 5f on good to firm ground with 1st time cheekpieces can spark an improvement. State of The Union 0.5pt E/W @ 12/1 Paddy Power 8.15 Musselburgh Go Go Green is already on his 10th run of the season, and although consistent, is yet to get his head in front, but he now takes a significant drop in grade and a 7lb claimer on board has to see him super competitive. Jebediah Shine the obvious danger. Go Go Green 1pt Win @ 5/1 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 29, 2015 Author Share Posted June 29, 2015 5.30 Brighton Ecliptic Sunrise is in the form of her life but has gone up 18lbs since her first win and whilst she won commandingly LTO, at 10/11 isn't very attractive as a betting proposition. Preference is for Ada Lovelace who is down to 1lb below her last winning mark (over C&D last August). Not disgraced last time and this is a wee bit easier, especially with George Baker on board in a field full of claiming jocks. Ada Lovelace 1pt Win @ 4/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted June 30, 2015 Author Share Posted June 30, 2015 Really pleased with how that race panned out - all went perfectly. And the win for Ada Lovelace means we finish month in profit, albeit a small one. :) [TABLE=border: 0, cellpadding: 0, cellspacing: 0] [TR] [TD=colspan: 2]30 June 2015[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bets[/TD] [TD]110[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Winners (Win & E/W)[/TD] [TD]15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Placed (E/W)[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked (pts)[/TD] [TD]104.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Overall P/L (pts)[/TD] [TD]+17.43[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Strike Rate[/TD] [TD]13.6%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield[/TD] [TD]16.7%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mar & Apr[/TD] [TD]+2.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]May[/TD] [TD]+12.36[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Jun[/TD] [TD]+2.46[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 1, 2015 Author Share Posted July 1, 2015 Hope we can start July with a bang ... 6.30 Newbury An open sprint handicap and one in which Swendab has a great chance if building on his 2nd in class 4 LTO. The race before that however he was behind Dreams of Glory at Bath and it is he who I think has a good chance at decent price (the third place horse that day has gone on to win). Trip and conditions are perfect for the 7yo and he usually comes good at this time of year recording figures of 11114 in July. Ron Hodges has had a great record here (10113) in the last two years and with the claimer putting him back on his last winning mark, he should be competitive. Dreams Of Glory 1pt Win @ 6/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 3, 2015 Author Share Posted July 3, 2015 So, going to Haydock tomorrow, my 22nd racecourse. Was really looking forward to studying the form but the dodgy going at Haydock has put a bit of a dampner on things (pun intended). Nevertheless, it should be a good day, here's hoping I can go through the card (!). Not enough time to write everything up, but selections are below ... 1.45 Haydock Lord Ben Stack 1pt Win @ 8/1 Bet365 2.15 Haydock Miss Marjurie 1pt Win @ 5/1 BetVictor Criteria 0.5pt Win @ 8/1 BetVictor 2.50 Haydock Watersmeet 0.5pt Win @ 9/1 BetVictor Apertix 0.5pt Win @ Coral John Reel 0.5pt E/W @ 20/1 Paddy Power 3.25 Haydock Gold Flash 1pt Win @ 5/1 Bet365 4.00 Haydock Musical Comedy 1pt Win @ 4/1 Bet365 4.25 Haydock Royal Connoiusseur 0.5pt Win @ 9/1 Bet365 Mukaynis 0.5pt Win @ 10/1 Paddy Power 5.10 Haydock Enlace 1pt Win @ 11/2 BetVictor Tournament 1pt Win @ 7/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 5, 2015 Author Share Posted July 5, 2015 Well, that was a complete, unmitigated betting disaster. Still, it was a brilliant day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 5, 2015 Author Share Posted July 5, 2015 5.05 Ayr Could have got this completely wrong, but Go Far seems a huge price in the sprint at Ayr. He's not been in the greatest form of late but was running at 7f the last twice and in much better races than this previous to that. Has won the last twice he's competed in Class 3's at sprint distances and with the jockey's claim, is 5lb lower than the last of those. 28/1 is too tempting to miss. Go Far 0.5pt E/W @ 28/1 Paddy Power 7.25 Windsor Royal Brave and Lady Kyllar should go very well, but a chance is taken with Elusivity, whose win rate is poor but is down in class today and back over C&D where he finished 2nd in April from 1lb higher. 52224162 when running in a class 4 and could go well. Elusivity 0.5pt E/W @ 12/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 6, 2015 Author Share Posted July 6, 2015 Well, that was a tale of two horses - Go Far backed at 28s and backed into 8s, Elusivity backed at 12s and drifted to 25s. Both never got going though so at least they have that in common. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 7, 2015 Author Share Posted July 7, 2015 7.10 Bath Like the look of Escalating in the sprint handicap at Bath. The 3yo started his career with promise, tailed off a little but was highly tried after winning at Ascot and this much more up his street. A fair 4th LTO (has always needed a run) he could build on that and at 6/1 is a decent price. Escalating 1pt Win @ 6/1 Coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 8, 2015 Author Share Posted July 8, 2015 Doing an excellent job of eroding the profit I've accrued thus far, may as well keep the run going tomorrow ... ! ;) 5.10 Doncaster Balliol is a really interesting prospect but is plenty short enough, so prefrence is for two who are eased in grade and who do well at this level (infact, both won when last seen in a grade 5). Both are decently handicapped and could go well. Margeret's Gift 0.5pt Win @ 14/1 BetVictor Apricot Sky 0.5pt Win @ 8/1 BetVictor The 6.00 at Newmarket is a great race but shall be a watching brief only as can't split half the field. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 11, 2015 Author Share Posted July 11, 2015 The last two at Doncaster were both non runners. Have got another two against the field in the opener at Ascot, in terrible form at the moment so hoping my luck can change ... 2.10 Ascot Son of Africa 0.5pt E/W @ 14/1 Bet365 Desert Law 0.5pt E/W @ 16/1 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 12, 2015 Author Share Posted July 12, 2015 4.05 Ayr Don't usually get involved in class 6 events, but think Chookies Lass has a strong chance in the 5f sprint. This represents a significant drop in grade for the 4yo and whilst she has her own questions to answer (poor strike rate, 0/5 at Ayr), her competitors fair no better. Could simply be too good for these. Tadalavil has a chance but Linda Perrat hasn't had a winner since May - a run stretching back 63 races! Chookies Lass 1pt Win @ 10/3 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 13, 2015 Author Share Posted July 13, 2015 2nd for Chookies Lass, beaten by a horse who had been off course for two years! Just the one for tomorrow ... 3.45 Bath Breccbennach is down to his last winning mark and although he's never won a class 5, he's done all is winning in class 4's so should be up to taking this. Goes well fresh and should act on the ground. The 6's currently available looks a good price imho. Breccbennach 1pt Win @ 6/1 Coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 16, 2015 Author Share Posted July 16, 2015 Another loser on Monday, to keep up the appalling run... ! Just the one for Friday ... 3.50 Haydock Nocturn 0.5pt E/W @ 8/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted July 19, 2015 Author Share Posted July 19, 2015 One for Sunday ... 4.10 Redcar An open affair but am siding with one who is still open to improvement. Speedy Move won on his only attempt on GF and this is the first time he has encountered it since. Ran reasonably well LTO on soft at Chester on reappearance and today's conditions should be a lot more to his liking. Speedy Move 1pt Win @ 9/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.32384c3055cbc1254b0eb6212fda1359.jpg)
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.