Flat Racing - Tuesday 27th Janaury

[arsenalfh]

Southwell 2:10 Abi Scarlet - Loves it at Southwell but is a very unappealing favourite stepping up from wins in a claimer then seller. Doesn't look particularly well handicapped based on her last few runs in handicap company and you have to wonder if the trainer thinks the same with Morris switching over to stable mate Six Wives allowing claimer David Parkes to take 7lbs off. Barbs Princess - Up 3lbs after battling to win last time out and this lightly raced filly could progress further. She was held up that day and it remains to be seen if she takes to the fibresand and to the style of racing at Southwell. Musical Molly - Has been off form in recent starts here and is only down 1lb. Not sure she is well treated here and the 4/1 looks too short. Six Wives - Goes well at Southwell and front runs which is a plus. Recent form has been poor but she has been running in better company from high draws on the 5f course here and we all know how big a disadvantage that is. Now down 8lbs from her last win with Morris booked she can put in a better performance. The big question is if the longer trip will suit. Verdict: The decision to put a claimer on the favourite rather than Morris has to raise the question whether Dixon really believes Abi Scarlet can win off this mark. She carried 9-1 the last day and was given top weight of 9-7 here so perhaps the trainer can't see her winning with so much weight on her back. The second favourite has to prove she can perform at Southwell and the third in the betting has questions to answer off this mark after two poor runs with no excuses. With not much pace in this affair Morris may be able to dictate from the front and hold the lead on Six Wives. The trip is a bit of an unknown but this has been well and truly incorporated into her price and she has a lot going in her favour off a very low mark. With the others vulnerable Six Wives looks a good bet at a nice price. Six Wives - 2pts Win @ 12/1 Bet365

[geeuppy]

Re: Flat Racing - Tuesday 27th Janaury 1.35 southwell - teajaybe 2.10 southwell - barbs princess 2.40 southwell - schottische 3.10 southwell - reetaj 3.40 southwell - city of Angkor wat 4.10 southwell - eium mac