chris34 Posted June 18, 2014 Share Posted June 18, 2014 4.45 Southwell 3yr old handicaps not usually my betting ground but this one does attract me, simply because of the level of fibresand form on show. Red Primo is 2 from 2 around here both over 6f, winning a maiden and a classified event. Never cut any ice on handicap debut turf last time out off a mark of 73, runs off 72 today. Although winning in good style when last seen he beat very little and this mark might be harsh enough based on that form but could bounce back on this surface. Outbacker has shown very little recently but does have 1 run on this surface and that was a respectable 3rd behind Alumina. Two Shades Of Grey comes from the in form Fahey yard but has been held since winning on seasonal debut and handicapper might be in chance. Buy Out Boy shown nothing for old connections but has joined Appleby yard who know the time of day with their runners around here but on shown form cant be backed. Injaz wasn’t disgraced on only one run around here over 6f, again good effort last time out but needs to step up again. Wildcat Lass is the interesting one for me, was unlucky to bump into a couple of better rivals in course maidens before finally getting off the mark on this surface 3 starts back, not a strong race but did it in good style. Lesser effort back on turf before bouncing back around a mile here, stamina look stretched that day and drop back to 7f a huge plus and looks a real course specialist in the making. 2pt win Wildcat Lass 4/1 bet365 7.25 Lingfield Decent fillies handicap with several of these bringing good recent form to the table. Sonnetation produced a career best effort last time out over this CD behind Secret Success. She was still beaten 2 lengths and will need to improve again to be winning a race as competitive as this despite racing off same mark. Princess Spirit has long looked an AW specialist especially at Kempton, showed she could act around here last time out having previously shown little here. Needs to back that effort up off a 1lb higher mark from widest draw. Two In The Pink was largely consistent on the AW in the spring but showed nothing on recent return on turf. Would be no surprise to see her bounce back around here but she does remain with just 1 win in a maiden from 14 starts. Bold Ring a course specialist with 6 wins around here but she is better known for her 7f exploits and usually worth taking on these days. Promising apprentice taking over the ride here. Welsh Inlet another who is better over 7f than a mile and is probably worth avoiding over todays trip. Meddling is not entirely straightforward but she clearly has bags of ability if she can put it all together. She finally scored narrowly last time out over this CD when making all that might just be the key to her. She looks to be the only out and out front runner so if they push her forward again she might get a soft lead again. Yard also in good heart currently. 2pt win Meddling 11/2 bet365 8.10 Leicester This race is not the strongest with plenty of these with something to prove at present. Serenity Spa won a mile handicap at Lingfield in March and has run some respectable races since but hasn’t shaped as if needing a drop back to sprinting which has to be the concern here. Meandmyshadow is a hard horse to predict but he did score nicely last time out at Carlisle, runs under a 6lb penalty today but still very well treated on best form but isn’t one for maximum faith to back up latest win. Red Lady showed improved form last time out to finish 3rd in first time hood and cheekpieces. They are retained this time but ultimately she was still beaten nearly 10 lengths so needs to take another massive step forward here. Clock Opera rarely runs a bad race but needs a near career best off this sort of mark and looked held last time out. Mill I Am has proved consistent on the AW but on 3 runs on the turf last season showed nothing so needs to continue her good work back on turf. The safest option may well be the handicapping debutant Koala Bear. Clearly had her issues having not been seen in 2013 but has made a decent return this year in 2 maidens, looking in need of further last time out over 5f, steps up to 6f today whether that’s enough is yet to be seen but this is weak. An opening mark of 64 looks very workable and clearly has more scope than most of these. 2pt win Koala Bear 3/1 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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