Flat Racing 19th April

[chris34]

2.20 Kempton Ayaar is an interesting runner, did well as a 2yr old including a win in Germany. Highly tried as a 3yr old in some hot races but finally back on the scoreboard at Newmarket when last seen, 4lb rise makes things tougher but fetched a decent sum at the sales and clearly connections feel he has more to offer yet and with a yard that can eke that little bit more out of him although may need the run. Glen Moss is another starting out for a new yard, and this yard have already had a couple of winners this season. He was runner up in this last season but starts this season off a 7lb higher mark having won 2 races last season, goes well fresh and this easier than what he was contesting back end of last season. Bravo Echo won a conditions event last time out winning a tactical affair, handicapper reacted harshly and mark looks plenty high enough. Bluegrass Blues goes extremely well around with 2 wins (1 disqual) and a good 2^nd from 3 runs, no show in Spring Cup but this far easier and would be no surprise running a better race here. Rocksilla won her last 2 starts last season at Ponte and Yarmouth up a harsh 8lb for latest Yarmouth win and that looks harsh. Upavon might be the one to chance coming here race fit compared to many of the market rivals, his record on the AW is impressive 4 wins from 9 and 3 from 6 around here. 3lb rise for latest win looks fair and this step up to 7f will be no problem. 2pt win Upavon 7/1 hills 5.05 Kempton Several of these ran in a CD conditions race just over 2 weeks ago, Noble Silk was 2^nd behind Castillo Del Diablo, he is much better off back in handicap against 5^th placed Sir Graham Wade and 3^rd placed Clowance Estate but Noble Silk has never won off a mark this high and you can expect Sir Graham Wade to have come on for the run and should finish closer, he was only 2 lengths behind and he is now on a dangerous handicap mark if recapturing anything like his best. Clowance Estate isn’t fully exposed but is starting to look a little bit of a hype horse and blinkers need to bring about some improvement back in handicap. White Nile won on season reappearance picking up where he left off last season, this is a much stronger race with a 7lb rise but likely to still have more to offer this season especially with Moore in the saddle, although bounce factor a worry just 10 days later. Seaside Sizzler might be worth taking a speculative punt on, he has twice won first time up at start of season including over this CD similar time of year. Largely ran well after but something clearly amiss in Cesarewitch, still remains 4lb above last winning mark but competitive off this mark last season and if fit enough to do himself justice a threat to all around here with 3 wins from 4, 11/1 huge price. 2pt win Seaside Sizzler 11/1 bet365

[robertob]

Re: Flat Racing 19th April 14.20 Kempton: Chilworth Icon @ 8/1 Bet365 - 2pts win Chilworth Icon was extremely unlucky on his latest start at Thirsk. He was travelling in midfield, going super strongly but didn't get any run whatsoever when it really mattered. He was desperate for a gap and was on bridle until late. He got out at some point finally but was also bumped 1f out and all his chances were gone. He would have gone much closer with a clear run. He ran extremely at Lingfield on his penultimate start hot race too, when he also didn't quite get the run of the race but finished really well. He is down to handy mark now, as he has done well off much higher in hot handicaps last year, and he also won in listed company back in 2012. 16.05 Cork: Vastonea @ 12/1 Bet365 - 1pt win If Vastonea can find back to last years form, he has every chance to win this of his current mark. He is down to 89 and won off higher last year, even though over 1m. But he has also some fine form over 10f, so the trip should be not an issue today. Vastonea has an excellent record as a fresh horse, so I would imagine that must count as a plus today in this field, where many have question marks. Chris Hayes is booked for the ride, which is another bonus I feel. 19.30 Bath: Where's Reiley @ 8/1 Coral - 2pts win Where's Reiley appears to be tremendously well handicapped on his return to turf following an eye-catching performance at Wolverhampton a fortnight ago. That day he had the widest draw to overcome and used up an awful lot of energy in order to be close to the pace early on. He also travelled widest on the outside, all less then of an advantage. He made a nice move coming around the home bend trying to challenge the leader and eventual winner but that won had the run of the race and pulled clear in the closing stages, yet Where's Reiley made him work hard for it. WR finished a nice 2nd though confirming his well being and now back on the turf he can race of a 5lb lower mark, which even considered of what he has done on turf the last couple of years, is really low. He won off higher, and ran well at Bath in the past. He must have a cracking chance today.