Flat Racing > Wednesday March 9th

[chris34]

8.30 Kempton Interesting low grade all weather handicap. Keep The Secret won a maiden over this trip at Lingfield on polytrack back in December 2012 on debut, but showed nothing in 4 runs last summer in handicaps including back over that CD, clearly needs to show more for all mark has dropped again. John Potts has had a good winter picking up 2 of these recently, further 4lb rise for the latest. Not won off this mark for over 3 years also unlikely to get an easy time up front with Shahrazad in the field. Secret Succes won over CD on penultimate start in September before failing to land a blow last time out on turf, possibly worth forgiving that with underfoot soft conditions, didn’t show anything fresh last year and usual tongue tie left off so may need the run. Automotive would be more at home over a bit further but it may be the case they try front run with him to stretch this lot although wide draw wont help. Shifting Star is largely consistent at present and is on a very lenient mark but losing run is stacking up and all best form has been over a little shorter. Divine Rule picked up a race that fell apart and that is what he needs, 3lb rise leaves him vulnerable off this sort of mark. Katmai River is hard to win with but does know how to win and has had a good season under this apprentice, further 2lb rise for latest 2^nd leaves him now 6lb above last winning mark. Tijuca is the slightly more interesting one, she has found her form just recently and won in the first time cheekpieces on penultimate start off a 3lb lower mark. Failed to land a blow last time out in a race not run to suit in a small field, but still ran as if in form over a shorter than ideal 7f. Step back up to mile sure to suit with the chance of a more truly run race with apprentice of the moment taking off the 3lb so looks well treated back over this trip. 2pt win Tijuca 8/1 bet365

[Aidymac]

Flat Racing > Wednesday March 9th Catterick 5:20 The Tracy Waggott horse Tuibama looks a big price in my opinion at around the 11/1 mark. This is an apprentice jockeys race and George Chaloner would be one of the better jockeys in the race, even though he has lost his claim he is a good man to have in the saddle. He has run 8 times here at Catterick and although he is yet to win here, he has run with credit every time, form figures here are 4-6-2-3-2-3-6-4. He went close here this time last year off the same mark (61) when he finished 3rd and if he is freshened up after a break he has to have a very good chance tomorrow. Tracy Waggott has had 6 places from her last 10 runners so they are coming into form. Tuibama WIN @ 11/1 Bet Victor