BBOTD > Tuesday April 1st

[Aidymac]

Kempton 4:50 This is a tricky little eight runner handicap but I certainly think the Andrew Balding runner Storm Force Ten is a big price at 6/1. The 3 year old colt showed plenty of promise on his two runs here at Kempton last year. He finished a close 3rd here over a mile and soon after finished 3rd to Devilment over 1m2f. This horse is related to multiple 1m4f winner Shirocco so he is bred to get further and the step up to 1m3f should be more in his favour tomorrow after a nice break. Shirocco won the Group 1 Coronation Cup at Epsom back in the day so it is a top breeding line. The Andrew Balding yard is in great form (10 winners from his last 30 runners) and I think this horse looks overpriced for a Class 5 contest off such a low mark. Storm Force Ten WIN @ 6/1 Bet365

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD > Tuesday April 1st 4.20 Kempton – Incendo 1pt win @ 7/1 PaddyPower I’ll take a chance on Incendo here who comes here on the back of a very impressive win in a claimer at Lingfield last time out. Although that was a lot easier than this race, Incendo travelled powerfully throughout and never had to come off the bridle to win comfortably. He will clearly find this much tougher form a 6lb higher mark but if he can build on that win, then I see no reason why he cant go close having won over CD from a 2lb higher mark in the past. His record over CD is a good one with just a couple of poor efforts which excuses can be made. His record over CD reads 2-1-3-3-2-1-8-6. The 8 came in a good group 3 race, which he was always going to struggle in the 6 came a few runs ago where they experimented with first time blinkers. His last win over CD came nearly 2 years ago but came off a mark of 82. Tomorrow he races off 80 so could go well if arriving in the same form as he was in at Lingfield. I think it’s a strange move replacing the cheekpieces he wore at Lingifled with a visor but maybe he is a horse that you have to mix it up with. He did win first time up in a visor back in 2010. I actually backed Swift Blade when he beat Sporting Gold over CD and I don’t expect there to be much between them again. They finished in a real bunch that day and I get the feeling Swift Blade’s run could come to an end tomorrow. I think the main danger could be Waving who was undone by the longer trip on his latest start. Dropping back in trip could help get back on the winning trail but I am happy to take my chances on the quirky Incendo. I just hope he doesn’t do the same as the quirky customer I backed today!