Flat Racing 31st March (Kempton)

[chris34]

3.30 Kempton Very uninspiring race with 3 of these racing out of the handicap and of the rest badly out of form bar the obvious favourite who is the obvious starting point. Adiynara just scraped home last time out over slightly shorter, didn’t appear to be crying out for further but does have the form to suggest she stays this far. 2lb rise fair and still potentially well treated on her Irish form but some time since she showed that and consistency not her strong suit. Kennys Girl has shown little in handicap company and needs to have improved from when last seen. Isdaal has shown nothing both on the flat and over hurdles this winter and cant be backed. Princess Willow showed some decent enough form last winter but remains a maiden and has shown nothing in 2 runs this winter and handicap slow to relieve the pressure and 2lb out of the handicap today. Lily Edge is also 4lb out of the weights today and has it all to do off this sort of mark on recent efforts. Pembroke Pride showed first piece of worthwhile form last time out on handicap debut staying despite being hampered but tough ask today running 6lb out of the weights. Dazzling Valentine might be the small bit of value against a questionable short priced favourite and an uninspiring rest of field. Simply gone through the motions this winter but slightly closer to the action last time out at Lingfield and drops a further 2lb, now 9lb below last winning mark and could take a hand in a weak race. 2pt win Dazzling Valentine 7/2 pp 5.00 Kempton From one extreme to another in the staying division, some really useful looking sorts in the last qualifier for the finals day. Castilo Diablo isn’t totally proven over this trip but appeared to stay last time out in similar affair at Lingfield, headgear back on today which he won in January, perhaps wouldn’t want much of a test at this trip with stamina not totally proven. Noble Silk finished in front of Diablo last time out not fully exposed yet and could have more to offer. On handicap ratings Ordensitter has a lot to find with this bunch but is atleast proven his well being recently. Ranjaan was another in that previous conitions race at Lingfield finishing just behind Diablo, he may well appreciate this longer straight given he looked a little caught out at Lingfield but strictly has something to find on ratings again. Sir Graham Wade rose to be a really useful handicapper in 2012, quiet season last year but on old form would have sound chances needs to prove still has full ability and record fresh poor. Thecornishcockney is an interesting runner, should strip fitter for recent runs in Meydan for all they have been poor. Made into really useful handicapper over this CD last winter and on ratings is the best off if anywhere near his best. Renard has something to find on figures but unexposed stepping up in trip and if that is the key to him he could be a threat especially with Ryan Moore in the saddle. Duchess Of Gazeley looks a very short price, yes she has been in good form this winter and will appreciate this return to further having finished 3^rd in the previous contest which many of these contested at Lingfield. Gets plenty of weight from rivals and not without a chance if wide draw doesn’t impede. Clowance Estate might be worth a chance in this lineup well drawn for a prominent runner and he looked a handicapper going places last year. Respectable effort at best when last seen in the Cesarewitch but prior to that was progressing nicely through the handicap ranks without winning, but both wins have come when he has been fresh so that may be the key to him returning to action here today. 2pt win Clowance Estate 6/1 pp

[jayalexander]

Re: Flat Racing 31st March (Kempton) 5:00 Kempton - Tzora Has only raced on the flat once as a maiden but did recently take part in a jumpers bumper on the AW at Kempton, where he was unlucky not to win. Hadden Frost was jockey that time and today Jim Crowley is in charge. Over 2m, Jim is the man I'd be wanting on top if I had a horse in this race; he's won 11 times over the distance (AW) from 33 rides in the last year and there's not another jockey in this race who can live up to that (others in this race include George Baker, with 3 from 28 and Ryan Moore, 2 from 14). 28/1 betvictor