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AFL Rd. 2.


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Hawthorn win @ 2.30 How the hell are Richmond 1.65 favs in any game? They've lost 15 games in a row! The Wizzard Cup game v. Collingwood proved they had forgotten how to win, and the game on the weekend proved their defense/loose midfield is as bad as ever. (They allowed Geelong 160 points, who averaged 91 ppg last season, and scored 62 last night in Perth.) They've allowed 100+ in all but one of those losses. (v. Freo in Melbourne.) The Hawks have topped 100 only twice in 22 games!!..going back to Rd. 2 of last year. ..BUT...When they did, they won. 120-109 v. Doggies and 109-86 v. the Tiges themselves in Rd. 21 last year. This is a 50/50 game at worst for the Hawks...maybe even leaning slightly in their favour. 2.30 is a rediculous price. St. Kilda v. Fremantle 155 points or less (2.35 @ Centrebet) (7/10) Very big ground @ Aurora stadium, makes high scoring all but impossible. Fremantle have played 3 games at the ground, the highest total was 168. St. Kilda have played 4 games, their highest is 159. But now St. Kilda's CHF is out, and the weather is absolutely terrinle right now (4 hours to gametime), belting with rain and high winds. St. Kilda v. Fremantle 156-175 points (3.90) (3/10) Just a saver. *NB: The total @ Betfair is 196.5!!!...Lay it at any price!!! Not a chance in this world it reaches that today.

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