Flat Racing > Monday March 17th

[Aidymac]

Kempton 4:20 There has been a lot of money for Yeeoow but he is far too short in my opinion, I think Baddilini has a major chance here in the hands of Richard Hughes. He ended an 18 month losing run when Natasha Eaton steered to him to victory over 6f at Wolverhampton last time out. He has only gone up two pounds in the weights for that win and with Hughes taking over in the saddle he will surely go close here again tomorrow. Alan Bailey has had 5 winners from his last 18 runners also so the yard is flying. Baddilini WIN @ 4/1 Bet Victor

[chris34]

Re: Flat Racing > Monday March 17th 3.20 Kempton Thane Of Cawdor needs everything to fall right and he finally got that last time out, 3lb rise fair but has been largely costly to follow and wouldn’t be the obvious sort to win again given his overall record. Maison Brillet is another that doesn’t win very often, ran well on reappearance and well again last time out finishing well but soundly beaten, the winner of that race failed to follow up makes that form look weak. Maison looks in need of further these days. Elegant Ophelia was a length behind Thane Of Cawdor last time out and gets a 2lb turnaround for that, but she remains an extremely frustrating maiden. OrpenArry wasn’t seen for well over a year before running extremely well on stable debut last time out, 2lb rise fair the bounce factor the worry here aswell as the 2f step up in trip. More one to watch than get involved in. Dance is another frustrating maiden, she has looked very one paced at times. She has been soundly held despite finishing in the first 3 the last 3 times. Further 2lb rise in the weights makes things tougher again. Super Duplex looks the one to be with, gutted he couldn’t do it last time out when I was on him EW at a tasty price. He was well backed that day and so nearly delivered, 2lb higher today but has won off couple lb higher in the past. Hughes a very strong booking from a good inside draw. 2pt win Super Duplex 7/2 pp 4.20 Kempton Great race for a Monday afternoon with several useful sorts in here. Barnet Fair returns needing a career best and has no record fresh so best avoided today. Piscean has largely struggled recently and no better after a break latest, best left alone until showing more. Yeeoow looks very short in the betting but has been well supported, does have a good record fresh so not guaranteed to build on what little he showed last time out when never really involved but only beaten 4 lengths. 1lb lower today but remains 7lb above last winning mark. Baddilini scored narrowly last time out from 4lb out of the handicap, 6lb rise respectable considering that but Hughes takes over from a 5lb claimer so mark might be harsh enough to stop a follow up. Trojan Rocket was a neck behind Baddilini last time out, gets a 1lb turnaround and continues in great form. But this requires another career best from a wide draw. This trip looks on the short side for Corporal Maddox these days and he has been better over the slightly longer trips this winter. Another Wise Kid is yet to try this surface and looks high enough in the weights. Novellen Lad is another that has looked held by his current mark at present. Clear Praise has good record on the AW winning 5 times from 28 and 7 placed efforts. Not so good recently and despite dropping back to last AW winning mark shapes as out of form at present. The value could lie with Upavon, winning around here over 7f 3 starts back in November off a mark of 85, decent effort in defeat next time out off mark of 87 before never landing a blow last time out over a mile drop back to 6f looks ideal having previously won over this trip. Also dropped a 1lb so only 1lb above last winning mark and still lightly raced. 1pt e/w Upavon 9/1 coral 4.00 Wolverhampton Kasbhom has been in good form recently winning 2 handicaps before being held off revised mark last time out. Didn’t shape as if a step up in trip was required and also cheekpieces worn last twice removed strangely might be worth taking on. Izzy Boy has struggled in handicaps since landing a classified event around here and a handicap at Southwell in December, remains 3lb above that winning mark and showed little back at Southwell latest. Monte Cassino scored here in October when fresh, ran ok last time out when fresh again although might be held on this mark and also best when fresh so turned out 6 days later a worry. Glenridding has dropped to his last winning mark but has shown nothing lately, Queally an eye catching booking though. Waterloo Dock might be worth a chance in this field largely campaigned at Lingfield, only beaten 2 1/4 lengths last time out in first time cheekpieces. They are retained today and although this race has a few front runners he could well be the only out and out given Glenridding last won when held up. Dock clearly didn’t stay the mile trip last time out but still not beaten far shaping well, dropped a further 3lb and now 19lb below last winning mark he looks worth a chance. 1pt e/w Waterloo Dock 10/1 PP