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BBOTD - Friday 31st January


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17.55 Wolverhampton: Well Painted @ 10/3 Bet365 Well Painted went extremely close last time out at Lingfield and was unlucky not to win in my mind. He was simply locked on the inside and short of room to break out and start a challenge from 3f out, all the way turning for home and pretty much until the final furlong marker, while the other horses had a chance to get into full flying, Well Painted didn't and had to wait until he got free while then he had to produce instantaneous acceleration. He did extremely well to got as close as he did in the end without getting touched with the whip at all. He seems to be poised I feel as he run well over 1m before too when he finished runners up to Alfred Hutchinson and these forms work out very well. He drops in class tomorrow, has the useful assistance of a 5lb claimer and should get a clear run in this small field - so no excuses this time.

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Re: BBOTD - Friday 31st January Dundalk 8:15 Balmont Flyer looks a very big price here in my opinion with Joseph O'Brien on board who absolutely cleans up here at Dundalk. He has ridden 11 times for Joanna Morgan at Dundalk althogether and has won 5 of those 11 (45% strike-rate) so more than happy to take the 7/1 available on this horse. This horse is a three time course and distance winner and the most realistic reason he has been under-performing the last few runs is because he prefers the all-weather to turf. His record at Dundalk reads 6-1-2-2-1-1-8 so he clearly loves it here. In January 2013 he hosed up by 3 lengths over C&D and the fact they have booked Joseph would suggest the horse is fit and they expect a big run. Balmont Flyer WIN @ 7/1 Paddy Power

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