BBOTD Sunday 5th January

[Lodge]

12.40 - Lingfield - Imjin River 1pt @ 6/1 Bet365 I thought Imjin River should go close if backing up Tuesdays effort at Lingfield. He was only beaten a length or so there and was running on strongly from the back of the field. He was effectively running off an 8lb higher mark of 54 because of his jockey being overweight and him being out of the handicap so off a mark of 46 i think he could do some damage. He clearly acts on the surface with a record of 1-3-2 from his 3 runs here. The win came off a 19lb higher mark and the most recent 2nd came this year over C&D off a 9lb higher mark. He's clearly not very consistent having only won twice from 42 career runs but off a basement mark he must have another race in him. He has a decent young jockey booked in Louis Steward, he knows the horse having ridden him a few times and he had a 17% strike rate on the AW in 2013.

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD Sunday 5th January 2.10 Southwell Frontier Fighter has an obvious chance based on his penultimate run when running Dubai Hills close over 7f around here. Step up in trip no problem, but does need to bounce back from poorer run last time out on polytrack and also now has to race off a 5lb higher mark. First Post does act on the surface but was behind Greyfriar’s last time out over CD a 4lb turnaround will bring them closer but not likely to be enough. The Lock Master is the same as First Post and gets exactly the same turn around, he has now dropped to 2lb below last winning mark and appears to be working his way back to form and should find races this winter again. Greyfriarschorista looks the value against the favourite, he has an impressive strike rate around here of 3 from 6, winning last time out over CD under Shelley who has impressed me all season, a 3lb rise looks very fair, that was a career best last time out so will need to be at the top of his game again today but remains unexposed on this surface. 1pt win Greyfriarschorista 11/4 Seaniemac