Lodge's Thread

[Lodge]

I've been meaning to set up my own thread for a while now. I'm a regular poster in the daily threads, so fancy having my own little bit of space to keep things organised. I'm a fan of all kinds of racing, so this is not a specialisation thread in any way, although it may help work out which codes i'm more profitable in! I'm hoping that recording my bets in this way will also help me be more disciplined. I must admit that i bet most days so will have regular selections and i will also try to mix it up with some other stuff such as horses going into my notebook. My selection process is generally based about finding value, i tend to try and study the form and take early prices which i feel represent value, therefore most of my bets will be posted the evening before they race. I'll use a points staking system (generally 1pt or 2pt) for each bet, and generally only bet win only. Fingers crossed this will prove as successful as some of the other excellent threads on here!

[Lodge]

Re: Lodge's Thread I have 2 selections for tomorrow to get things started :hope Both taken from tomorrows daily thread: 12.40 - Catterick - Rick 2pts @ 7/2 BetVictor This looks a massive price to me for a runner who shaped very well last time out. He was very well backed last time out and went extremely well for a long way, O'Regan gave him a good positive ride in the first time blinkers and he jumped boldly and travelled well. He hit as low as 1.49 in running but probably found the extended 2m 4f a little too far and weakened late on finishing 3rd. That race looked a good little contest to me with a number of unexposed/progressive types so the fact he was beaten 12L by the winner is no disgrace at all. He steps back in trip to 2m 3f which should be about perfect for him, he wears the blinkers again which seemed to have a positive effect last time out and Denis O'Regan is also onboard once more. He's been dropped a further 3lbs by the handicapper which looks generous to me and the fact he was a high class hurdler in Ireland rated 143 at his peak suggests to me he could progress from his mark of 122. I personally had this one as favourite so 7/2 looks very good value. 2.50 - Fakenham - Rocky Elsom 1pt @ 11/1 BetVicor One at abit of a price i fancy to run well tomorrow is Rocky Elsom. I think his last run was quite abit better than the bare result. He finished 8th in an 11 runner field beaten 22L but it was quite a competitive class 3 novice handicap and he was running 5lbs out of the handicap. The form of that race has worked out well with 2 subsequent winners and a few placed horses coming out of the race. Tomorrows race is a fair bit weaker being a class 4 (0-110) event and he effectively runs off a 7lb lower mark being eased 2lb by the handicapper for that latest run. He managed to win a couple of low grade handicap hurdles off this kind of mark earlier this year and there should still be more to come after only 2 starts over fences. Tom Cannon replaces a 5lb claimer on board and he rides the odd winner for this yard. Of the others i fancy Ninfea to go better back in trip, and Looks Like Slim has good claims but at the prices i fancy the David Arbuthnot runner.