Overs/Unders Betting

[Iisco]

Wolverhampton U21 v Tottenham U21 Under 2.5: 3.00 (SkyBet) Newcastle United U21 v Chelsea U21 Under 2.5: 3.50 (Skybet) Anzhi v Tom Tomsk Over 2.5: 2.50 (Skybet) More discussion later. Had to post quick for kick-off times of these games.

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Disclosure: I'm not placing these bets. I am recording them here for several reasons. Most importantly to test a simple strategy in a public forum where I can't fiddle with my spreadsheet to make the strategy look better/viable (something I have done in the past, sad) and to feed my interest in football betting without the financial risk involved as I have only in the last couple of weeks broken a compulsive habitual gambling problem. Starting Bank: 100pts Stake: 5pts If bank drops to 50pts stake drops to 2.5pts. If bank doubles to 200pts stake increases to 10pts. Picks are chosen considering last 5 home games (home team) and last 5 away games (away team) versus odds offered by SkyBet (The only online bookie that I use) This thread is a kind of therapy for myself where I will learn one of two things: - Simple statistical data doesn't work for this type of betting Or - It's possible to be profitable by keeping my picks under the control of a simple betting and staking strategy.

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Kuban v Lokomotiv Moskva Over 2.5: 2.00 (SkyBet) Rubin Kazan v Amkar Perm Over 2.5: 2.25 (SkyBet) AEK Larnaca v Apollon Under 2.5: 1.67 (SkyBet)

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Jong Ajax v Almere City Overs: 1.40 (SkyBet) Fiorentina v Hellas Verona Overs: 1.67 (SkyBet) Jong PSV v FC Eindhoven Overs: 1.40 (SkyBet) Esbjerg v Aab Overs 2.5: 1.91 (SkyBet) 19:15 FSV Frankfurt v A.Bielfeld Over 2.5: 1.83 (SkyBet)

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Left kick-off time on last pick :$. From the live picks Rubin Kazan and Lokomotiv Moscow are both winning 3-0 :) Betting Statistics [TABLE=class: grid, width: 300, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Total Picks: [/TD] [TD=align: center]5 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Correct Picks:[/TD] [TD=align: center]60% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Average Odds:[/TD] [TD=align: center]2.65 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked:[/TD] [TD=align: center]25.00pts [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Returned:[/TD] [TD=align: center]38.75pts [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Profit:[/TD] [TD=align: center]13.75pts [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield (ROI):[/TD] [TD=align: center]55% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bank:[/TD] [TD=align: center]113.75pts [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Current Picks 17:00 AEK Larnaca v Apollon Over 2.5: 1.67 (SkyBet) 18:00 Fiorentina v Hellas Verona Over 2.5: 1.67 (SkyBet) 18:00 Jong PSV v FC Eindhoven Over 2.5: 1.40 (SkyBet) 18:00 Esbjerg v Aab Over 2.5: 1.91 (SkyBet) 19:00 Jong Ajax v Almere City Over 2.5: 1.40 (SkyBet) 19:15 FSV Frankfurt v A.Bielfeld Over 2.5: 1.83 (SkyBet)

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting [TABLE=class: grid, width: 900, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]League [/TD] [TD]Home [/TD] [TD]Away [/TD] [TD]O/U [/TD] [TD]Stake [/TD] [TD]Odds [/TD] [TD]Result [/TD] [TD]Returned [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Premier League U21 [/TD] [TD]Wolverhampton U21 [/TD] [TD]Tottenham U21 [/TD] [TD]Unders [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]3.00 [/TD] [TD]3-1 [/TD] [TD]0.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Premier League U21 [/TD] [TD]Newcastle United U21 [/TD] [TD]Chelsea U21 [/TD] [TD]Unders [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]3.50 [/TD] [TD]1-1 [/TD] [TD]17.50 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Russia Premier League [/TD] [TD]Anzhi [/TD] [TD]Tom' Tomsk [/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.50 [/TD] [TD]0-2 [/TD] [TD]0.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Russia Premier League [/TD] [TD]Kuban Krasnodar [/TD] [TD]Lokomotiv Moscow [/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.00 [/TD] [TD]1-3 [/TD] [TD]10.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Russia Premier League [/TD] [TD]Rubin Kazan [/TD] [TD]Amkar Perm [/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.25 [/TD] [TD]3-0 [/TD] [TD]11.25 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Cyprus First Division [/TD] [TD]AEK Larnaca [/TD] [TD]Apollon [/TD] [TD]Unders [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.67 [/TD] [TD]0-2 [/TD] [TD]8.35 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Eerste Divisie [/TD] [TD]Jong Ajax [/TD] [TD]Almere City[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.40 [/TD] [TD]1-1 [/TD] [TD]0.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Eerste Divisie[/TD] [TD]Jong PSV [/TD] [TD]FC Eindhoven[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.40 [/TD] [TD]1-2 [/TD] [TD]7.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Serie A [/TD] [TD]Fiorentina[/TD] [TD]Hellas Verona[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.67 [/TD] [TD]4-3 [/TD] [TD]8.35 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Danish Superliga [/TD] [TD]Esbjerg[/TD] [TD]Aab[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.91 [/TD] [TD]1-1 [/TD] [TD]9.55 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]02/12/13 [/TD] [TD] 2. Bundesliga [/TD] [TD]FSV Frankfurt [/TD] [TD]A.Bielfeld[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.83 [/TD] [TD]1-2 [/TD] [TD]9.15 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting [TABLE=class: grid, width: 300, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Total Picks: [/TD] [TD=align: center]11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Correct Picks:[/TD] [TD=align: center]73%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Average Odds:[/TD] [TD=align: center]2.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked:[/TD] [TD=align: center]55.00pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Returned:[/TD] [TD=align: center]81.15pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Profit:[/TD] [TD=align: center]26.15pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield (ROI):[/TD] [TD=align: center]48%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bank:[/TD] [TD=align: center]126.15pts[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Ziener]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Nice start :ok

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Pretty decent start yesterday, just beginners luck, it won't last. I'm aiming for 5%-7% over a larger sample size. At the moment I'm still trying to decide what leagues I will focus on. Haven't got a huge amount of time to spend evaluating so will have to make a decision on this. Here are the picks for today: [TABLE=class: grid, width: 900, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Date [/TD] [TD]League [/TD] [TD]Home [/TD] [TD]Away [/TD] [TD]O/U [/TD] [TD]Stake [/TD] [TD]Odds [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship [/TD] [TD]Ipswich Town [/TD] [TD]Blackburn Rovers [/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship [/TD] [TD]Yeovil Town [/TD] [TD]Blackpool [/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship [/TD] [TD]Reading [/TD] [TD]Charlton Athletic [/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Albion Rovers [/TD] [TD]East Stirling [/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.25 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD] Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Clyde [/TD] [TD]Annan Athletic [/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.67 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting Results for today's games. [TABLE=class: grid, width: 1000, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]League [/TD] [TD]Home [/TD] [TD]Away [/TD] [TD]O/U [/TD] [TD]Stake [/TD] [TD]Odds [/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]Returned [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship [/TD] [TD]Ipswich Town [/TD] [TD]Blackburn Rovers[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.00 [/TD] [TD]3-1 [/TD] [TD]10.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship[/TD] [TD]Yeovil Town [/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [TD]1-0 [/TD] [TD]8.65 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship[/TD] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [TD]1-0 [/TD] [TD]8.65 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Albion Rovers[/TD] [TD]East Stirling[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.25 [/TD] [TD]3-2 [/TD] [TD]0.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD] Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Clyde [/TD] [TD]Annan Athletic[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.67 [/TD] [TD]2-1 [/TD] [TD]8.35 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Ziener]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting

Results for today's games. [TABLE=class: grid, width: 1000, align: left] [TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]League [/TD] [TD]Home [/TD] [TD]Away [/TD] [TD]O/U [/TD] [TD]Stake [/TD] [TD]Odds [/TD] [TD]Result[/TD] [TD]Returned [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship [/TD] [TD]Ipswich Town [/TD] [TD]Blackburn Rovers[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.00 [/TD] [TD]3-1 [/TD] [TD]10.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship[/TD] [TD]Yeovil Town [/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [TD]1-0 [/TD] [TD]8.65 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Championship[/TD] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD]Charlton Athletic[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [TD]1-0 [/TD] [TD]8.65 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD]Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Albion Rovers[/TD] [TD]East Stirling[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.25 [/TD] [TD]3-2 [/TD] [TD]0.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]03/12/13 [/TD] [TD] Scotland League Two [/TD] [TD]Clyde [/TD] [TD]Annan Athletic[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.67 [/TD] [TD]2-1 [/TD] [TD]8.35 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

Nice job again :clap Very tricky to bet a correct over in the Ch, well done on Ipswich. Like how you lay out the results nice to see you put some effort into it.

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting

Nice job again :clap Very tricky to bet a correct over in the Ch' date=' well done on Ipswich. Like how you lay out the results nice to see you put some effort into it.[/quote'] Thank you! I'm quite enjoying doing this without all the stress. Started off very well but I'm fully aware that 16 bets isn't a sample size. Just a good start. A run of losses will come sooner or later to slap down the yield percentage. Like I said before I'm hoping for a yield of 5%+ long term but I'm quite dubious about achieving that target using this strategy. Importantly, I'm having fun. Vital Statistics [TABLE=class: grid, width: 300, align: left] [TR] [TD]Total Picks: [/TD] [TD=align: center]16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Correct Picks:[/TD] [TD=align: center]75%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Average Odds:[/TD] [TD=align: center]2.03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Staked:[/TD] [TD=align: center]80.00pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Total Returned:[/TD] [TD=align: center]116.80pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Profit:[/TD] [TD=align: center]36.80pts[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Yield (ROI):[/TD] [TD=align: center]46%[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bank:[/TD] [TD=align: center]136.80pts[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

[Iisco]

Re: Overs/Unders Betting My next picks are: (Odds via SkyBet) [TABLE=class: grid, width: 900, align: left]

[TR] [TD]Date[/TD] [TD]League [/TD] [TD]Home [/TD] [TD]Away [/TD] [TD]O/U [/TD] [TD]Stake [/TD] [TD]Odds [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Premiership [/TD] [TD]Man Utd [/TD] [TD]Everton[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]2.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Premiership[/TD] [TD]Southampton [/TD] [TD]Aston Villa[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.73 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Premiership[/TD] [TD]Stoke City[/TD] [TD]Cardiff City[/TD] [TD]Under [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.62 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13 [/TD] [TD]England Premiership[/TD] [TD]Swansea City[/TD] [TD]Newcastle Utd[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13 [/TD] [TD] England Championship [/TD] [TD]Derby County [/TD] [TD]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]Overs [/TD] [TD]5.00 [/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13[/TD] [TD]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD]Ajaccio[/TD] [TD]Bastia[/TD] [TD]Overs[/TD] [TD]5.00[/TD] [TD]2.25[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13[/TD] [TD]France Ligue 1[/TD] [TD]Evian[/TD] [TD]PSG[/TD] [TD]Overs[/TD] [TD]5.00[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13[/TD] [TD]Spain Segunda Division[/TD] [TD]Real Madrid Castilla[/TD] [TD]Girona[/TD] [TD]Under[/TD] [TD]5.00[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]04/12/13[/TD] [TD]Spain Segunda Division[/TD] [TD]Recreativo[/TD] [TD]Real Jaen[/TD] [TD]Overs[/TD] [TD]5.00[/TD] [TD]2.00[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]