Flat Racing 20th November

[chris34]

2.30 Lingfield Really good looking AW handicap, should be run at an honest pace given several of these like to push on. Prodigality showed a return to form last time out at Donaster when staying on well in a big field, this is a bit different and does still remain 5lb above last winning mark so off top weight may have questions to answer for all you can never rule Luke Morris out on the AW. Addictive Dream is one of the pace angles, clearly did too much last time out when fading out of it lacking a spark that day does need to show more off a further 2lb lower mark to be of interest again. This trip looks far too short for Trader Jack. If So is an obvious favourite given how well she is running of late on polytrack, my concern with her is she is now 17lb above her last winning mark and a further 3lb higher since last time out effort along with a much stronger field here to contend with. Naabegha has showed enough to suggest he is in good heart at present, he will need the gaps to appear which is always risky on the AW and none more so than at this track at times. Blessington clearly bounced having run a promising race on return from a lengthy break prior to last time out. Does have something to prove after that effort but clearly unexposed and capable of better. Peace Seeker ran a career best last time out when just caught out by Forest Edge, up another 3lb and now 8lb above last winning mark so clearly only another career best will suffice in a much tougher race than he is used too. Might be worth taken a chance on Alben Star, he has gone well fresh previously and from a handicapping point of view isn’t out of this having won his last polytrack handicap run off a mark of 92 won a minor event on turf since and now running off 94. Not seen for over a year a slight concern but yard usually do well with these sorts and yet to finish out of the places in the polytrack yet and not fully exposed. 1pt e/w Alben Star 10/1 PP

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Flat Racing 20th November Kempton 4.00 TWIST AND TWIRL 1pt ew @ 11-1 Ladbrokes Twist And Twirl ran well in 5f Maiden at Lingfield when last seen in January finishing 2nd by a neck to Dangerous Age. Trainer Derek Shaw have not had a winner the past two weeks but his last two runners was able to be placed after only one being placed from previous 18 runs.