averick Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Been paper testing my strategy for the past few weeks with pretty decent results, so here goes! Most bets will be for 1 unit with the bet size increased for matches I have more confidence in. There is no specific target (though I would be very happy with an ROI exceeding 7%) and I won't be keeping track of a bank (so just P&L, ROI), although anyone tailing is advised to start with a 100 point bank. 1. Tottenham - Chelsea total cards under 5 @ 1.875 (Bet365, 1 unit) 2. Aston Villa - Man City total cards under 3.5 @ 1.75 (Bet365, 1 unit) 3. Aston Villa - Man City corner asian handicap -2 @ 1.8 (Bet365, 1 unit) 4. Swansea - Arsenal total cards under 3.5 @ 2 (Bet365, 1 unit) 5. Swansea - Arsenal total corners over 10.5 @ 1.95 (Bet365, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 28, 2013 Author Share Posted September 28, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Missed out one bet... 6. Man United - West Brom total cards under 3 @ 1.9 (Bet365, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 28, 2013 Author Share Posted September 28, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 1. Tottenham - Chelsea total cards under 5 @ 1.875 (Bet365, 1 unit) 5-3 LOSE Match totally flew off the handle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 28, 2013 Author Share Posted September 28, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 2. Aston Villa - Man City total cards under 3.5 @ 1.75 (Bet365, 1 unit) 1-1 WIN 3. Aston Villa - Man City corner asian handicap -2 @ 1.8 (Bet365, 1 unit) 2-13 WIN 6. Man United - West Brom total cards under 3 @ 1.9 (>Bet365, 1 unit) 3-2 LOSE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Just as a matter of interest, you're quoting bets at 1 unit, are you actually putting money on the bets? I ask only because you mention people following you and that's unlikely to happen if they feel there's is no monetary value. Just looking for clarification. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoFear Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Will be following this thread with intent. Always wanted to bet on cards and corners but wasnt as profitable the last time i tried since i noticed it wasnt a "direct" bet. I mean goals and match odds are direct bets as players want to score goals. But players dont care if they get yellow card while defending a 1:0 lead in the last 10 mins. Hope this was helpful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Just got back, will have a look at the odds and see if there's anything for the early match. Skittle: Yes, I was paper testing this till yesterday when I finally put up real money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Had a few leans but ultimately nothing for the early game. A quick results update: 4. Swansea - Arsenal total cards under 3.5 @ 2 (Bet365, 1 unit) 3-2 LOSE 5. Swansea - Arsenal total corners over 10.5 @ 1.95 (Bet365, 1 unit) 4-3 LOSE YTD 2-4-0 -2.45 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Will be following this thread with intent. Always wanted to bet on cards and corners but wasnt as profitable the last time i tried since i noticed it wasnt a "direct" bet. I mean goals and match odds are direct bets as players want to score goals. But players dont care if they get yellow card while defending a 1:0 lead in the last 10 mins. Hope this was helpful. Get what you mean. Had some success with this a few years back, and also recently when I decided to do some paper testing. SO hopefully we will end the season in profit :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 7. Liverpool cards asian handicap (0) @ 2.15 (Marathon, 1 unit) 8. Sunderland cards asian handicap (+2) @ 2.20 (Marathon, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 sorry bet 8. should be 8. Sunderland CORNERS asian handicap (+2) @ 2.02 (Marathon, 1 unit) the wrong line totally doesn't make sense at all. Here's proof of the bet: Bet was placed 15 min before the match (2245 over here). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 30, 2013 Author Share Posted September 30, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 7. Liverpool cards asian handicap (0) @ 2.15 (Marathon' date=' 1 unit) 2-1 LOSE 8. Sunderland corners asian handicap (+2) @ 2.02 (Marathon, 1 unit) 10-8 WIN Overall YTD 3-5-0 -2.43 units Cards 1-4-0 -3.25 units Corners 2-1-0 +0.82 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 30, 2013 Author Share Posted September 30, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 9. Everton - Newcastle Total Corners under 10.5 @ 2.10 (Marathon, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted September 30, 2013 Author Share Posted September 30, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 9. Everton - Newcastle Total Corners under 10.5 @ 2.10 (Marathon' date= 1 unit) 1-1 WIN Overall YTD 4-5-0 -1.33 units Cards 1-4-0 -3.25 units Corners 3-1-0 +1.92 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 5, 2013 Author Share Posted October 5, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 10. Man City - Everton total cards under 4.0 @ 2 (Bet365, 1 unit) 11. Fulham - Stoke corners draw no bet @ 2.65 (Marathon, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 The last two bets were losers. Overall YTD 4-7-0 -3.33 units Cards 1-5-0 -4.25 units Corners 3-2-0 +0.92 units 12. Newcastle - Liverpool corners handicap -1.5 @ 1.96 (Marathon, 2 units) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 13. Arsenal - Norwich total corners under 10.5 @ 2.1868 after commission (Betfair, 1 unit) 14. Man U - Soton United cards handicap +0.5 @ 2.25 (Bet365, 1 unit) 15. Man U - Soton corners handicap +2 @ 1.95 (Bet365, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 16. West Ham - Man City corners handicap -1.5 @ 1.90 (Bet365, 2 units) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 20, 2013 Author Share Posted October 20, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Corners wise the game totally died off once City went 3-1 up. Lots of short neat possession play from City and very little attacking intent although they got the ball to the byline quite abit. Overall YTD 6-10-0 -4.46 units Cards 1-6-0 -5.25 units Corners 5-4-0 +0.79 units 17. Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur most corners @ 1.5 (Bet365, 4 units) Not chasing, feel pretty strongly about this and didn't like the odds on the handicap. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 20, 2013 Author Share Posted October 20, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 corners finished 7-4 in Spurs' favour. Overall YTD 7-10-0 -2.46 units Cards 1-6-0 -5.25 units Corners 6-4-0 +2.79 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 I don't know where you get your stats from but you might want to try www.adamchoi.co.uk Sent from my GT-I9100 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 Don't normally bet on games involving recently promoted teams due to lack of h2h data, but had a look at some in-play markets and this looked pretty attractive. 18. Crystal Palace - Fulham total corners under 12.5 @ 1.72 (Pinnacle, 1.38 units to win 1 unit) Total number of corners at time of bet (25'): 4 Line was -121 moments before I decided to bet it at -138, otherwise I probably would've thrown an extra 0.5-1 units in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 HT: total cards o2.5 @ 2.50 looks a very tempting bet for now. will try to get a better line/odds as the second half progresses though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 decided to lay off the cards bet once the match lost its competitiveness at 1-4. corners finished 6-6 but to be honest I didn't see this going past 10 corners. Overall YTD 8-10-0 -1.46 units Cards 1-6-0 -5.25 units Corners 7-4-0 +3.79 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted October 26, 2013 Author Share Posted October 26, 2013 Re: EPL Cards and Corners 2013-14 19. Aston Villa vs Everton total cards under 3.5 @ 1.925 (Bet365, 1 unit) 20. Liverpool vs West Brom total corners over 11.5 @ 1.82 (Marathon, 1 unit) 21. Manchester United cards handicap (0) - Stoke @ 3.75 (Marathon, 1 unit) 22. Manchester United - Stoke corners handicap +3.5 @ 2.00 (Bet365, 2 units) 23. Southampton - Fulham total cards over 3 @ 1.96 (Marathon, 1 unit) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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