BBOTD - Thursday 18th July

[robertob]

20.50 Epsom: Hawaiian Dream @ 8/1 Bet365 Missed the 10/1 offered by PP but still think this is a big price for arguably the least exposed horse in the field. She had only five starts to date, did not too badly in her maidens, finished a respectable 2nd (even though a good deal beaten) to subsequent Group 3 placed Jathabah on her Handicap debut and was then a rather unlucky horse here at Epsom recently, when she travelled well but was still green in the closing stages. She got visibly irritated when she got the whip in her face of a jockey of a rival who was travelling beside her. She drifted towards the rails, and got unbalanced soon after again which cost her every chance, while she galloped all the way to the line once straighten up again. She should have learnt plenty from this experience, as well as from the fact that this was her first start at Epsom where she appears tomorrow again. Promising young apprentice Oisin Murphy is booked for the ride who is well worth his 7lb claim as he's flying at the moment and riding with confidence. So while the rest of the field doesn't make much appeal I think Hawaiian Dream has a good chance to get finally off the mark.

[Boulder5111]

Re: BBOTD - Thursday 18th July B2.50 Lady Valtas e/w 66/1 Bet365 I'll start by saying that on all known form, this one hasn't got a cat in hells chance ! However, I think you can get the odd massive improvement from some horses when various headgear is applied for the first time and both the tongue tie and visor are applied here. Indeed the sires progeny have a great record when a visor is applied. On breeding again, the horse should be suited by the track and the jockey has a really good record here and she takes off a further 5lbs. The horse is only having its 2nd run for its current stable which might also bring about improvement, and it's encountering these conditions for the first time having never raced over less than a mile thus far.