TheLubet Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 The Aintree Grand National stats and trends. 9 &10 yr old's have the best record. but this year 8 & 11 yr olds might upset the form. Only 1 french bred winner in 100 years, french bred can be included if won at class 1 race of 3miles 2 furlongs. Irish trained have a good record. Old Vic has sired a few winners, his record is very good. Horse has to have won over 3 miles plus. Mininum of 10 runs over fences. i've allowed for 9. Fallen no more than 2 times in career. Run over the national fences before an advantage. Over 11 stone 6' in weight has never won this race. Run within the previous 50 days. i've allowed for 60 in my calcs. Top 10 in betting has a great record for the winner. Won a chase of at least £17000 Handicap rating between 135 and 157. Won against 12 or more rivals in any race. Run over hurdles this season, it keeps em fresh without the handicapper adding weight to them. 4 previous runs this season. On His Own 11/1 Cappa Bleu 13/1 Chicago Grey 13/1 Imperial Commander 17/1 Rare Bob 23/1 Soll 41/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted April 6, 2013 Author Share Posted April 6, 2013 Re: National Ramblings PT2 The Aintree Grand National stats and trends. 9 &10 yr old's have the best record. but this year 8 & 11 yr olds might upset the form. (11 yr old) Only 1 french bred winner in 100 years, french bred can be included if won at class 1 race of 3miles 2 furlongs. Irish trained have a good record. Old Vic has sired a few winners, his record is very good. Horse has to have won over 3 miles plus. (yes) Mininum of 10 runs over fences. i've allowed for 9. (yes) Fallen no more than 2 times in career. (Fallen 5 times 3 times over fences) Run over the national fences before an advantage. (1st run) Over 11 stone 6' in weight has never won this race. ( 10 stone 3) Run within the previous 50 days. i've allowed for 60 in my calcs. (35 days previous run) Top 10 in betting has a great record for the winner. (66/1) Won a chase of at least £17000 (yes) Handicap rating between 135 and 157. (Rating 137) Won against 12 or more rivals in any race. (Yes) Run over hurdles this season, it keeps em fresh without the handicapper adding weight to them. 4 previous runs this season. (yes) On His Own 11/1 Cappa Bleu 13/1 (2nd) Chicago Grey 13/1 Imperial Commander 17/1 Rare Bob 23/1 (5th) Soll 41/1 The bookies are laughing all the way home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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