JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Starting with a Fiver. No fannying around with obscure B and U19s teams from far flung lands. Might be boring and very slow but betting on Ukrainian Women's 9th Division has lost me proper money in the past, so hopefully it should work. Hence, I'm ruling to myself: 1. The match must be on the statto.com fixture list. 2. The match must be taking place in Europe or South America, or be an International. Bet 1, Tranmere vs. Stevenage £5 @ 1.083 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Good luck. Discipline the key. Sent from my GT-I8160 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal :welcome to the Glory Hunters section. Please click on the link below and have a look at the rules for this part of the forum. [h=1]Glory Hunters Forum RULES[/h] ................and good luck with the goals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Comes in after 10 minutes, not a bad start. :clap (already 2-1 after 15 minutes) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Bet 2, Palmerias vs. Santos, £5.42 @ 1.1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal good luck mate :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Well that hasn't gone too well... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smithy90 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Well that hasn't gone too well... Amazing how many of us have struggled to hit double figures with this hunt lately :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal That was a joke, Santos looked like a pub team but Palmeiras couldn't score :( Working out of I'm gonna do this again or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smithy90 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal That was a joke, Santos looked like a pub team but Palmeiras couldn't score :( Working out of I'm gonna do this again or not. Give it another shot, but anything around 1.10 like the last game you did is always going to be risky, when i do it i try average around 1.05 odds and even then its hard to get a decent run going! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Need to get skittle doing a crash course! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smithy90 Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Lol its not a big secret, i just dont have the patience/discipline to make one of these threads last over 4 months like he does! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: One Goal Yeah, starting up again tomorrow. Today's loss wasn't indiscipline so I feel good about it still. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal Smithy is right { am I really posting this :p }, as with other bets, price is a big indicator. Think about it, 1.1 is a big price in the one goal market and it's big for a reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Smithy is right { am I really posting this :p }' date=' as with other bets, price is a big indicator. Think about it, 1.1 is a big price in the one goal market and it's big for a reason.[/quote'] Sorry to jump in and divert the thread but I don't completely subscribe to this theory. I have come unstuck with larger odds bets on over 0.5 goals bets in the past (and probably will again in the near future now :lol) but 1.10 can represent value - it simply becomes a question of following value versus trying to maintain the run, IMO. Had rangers been 1.10 for over 0.5 goals, I'd have definitely rushed to get my bet on and I'd have also gone down. I felt 1.02 was decent odds and fully expected a goal but only because I was rushing did 1.02 seem not worth the hassle of rushing at the time. I do agree that 1.10 will generally indicate a bigger risk but Market price does not always reflect our perception of what we believe the odds should be. For me, first and foremost, I want to find a bet I believe will come in and then I will check the odds. Even when playing odds this low, I still want to see some value before I bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThemanwiththeSTATS Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Why was the price $1.10 ? For starters Neymar didn't play and 2 weeks ago he was suspended and sure enough santos played a 0-0 draw. They still have other great attacking options but Neymer is a freak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal It was in play after 10 mins :) I placed the bet because a Palmeiras goal seemed imminent, Santos were totally toothless without Neymar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal When's the best time to make a bet? A few hours before the game or getting closer to kick off time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 When's the best time to make a bet? When you believe the price offers value. I think the other part of your question is about maximising your bet? If you're lucky, the price will go down after you've placed the bet, not up! Sometimes, you can gauge whether the price will drift or not but, IMO, it's the value that tells you when. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal Price v Value. Depends upon what you want from the 'challenge'. Value doesn't come into it for me. Value says "it's a good price so I'll take it, but if it loses it doesn't matter as it was too good a price to miss". That's has negative written all over it. I feel you can have both options on your side with the correct mebtal approach. Do you want a good run or just try to make a few quid a bit faster than normal? If you have a good controlled run you will still make money, albeit a bit slower, regardless of the value/price. What's the rush? If you're in that much of a hurry.............buy more lottery tickets. I enjoy the good runs and mange to make a few quid at the same time......and feel less pressure into the bargain. I enjoy my betting by having a bit of success, I don't/didn't enjoy my gambling when losing. You decide what you want from betting/gambling. There is a difference between the two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal It's back on. Toying between Russia vs. Brazil and England vs. Austria U21s... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal Bet 1, Russia vs. Brazil, £10 @ 1.04 if it comes in before the England game/within 10 mins of the England game, then I'll make that my second :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal :hope Looked at both of these games but couldn't do a goal as I can't trust games that have no meaning, friendlies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal They both look goals goals goals to me! Russia having no game last week and Brazil not having another meaningful game until the world means I'm expecting goals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal Incredible game but thought the goal was never going to come. Bet 1 comes good :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: One Goal Bet 2, South Korea vs. Qatar £10.40 @ 1.05 South Korea need points to qualify and Qatar are a far inferior side, so at home South Korea should dismantle them. I also considered the Australia game before it but didn't like the risk. Gut feeling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: One Goal Bet 3, (one further than last time!!!!!!) Belgium vs. Macedonia, £10.92 @ 1.04 So many games tonight so was struggling between this and the Dutch game. Also fancy England-Montenegro later if there's an early goal in this! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: One Goal All the games I look at possibly picking have goals... apart from the one I actually chose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnyTic Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: One Goal goooooaaaaalllll :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Penguin Posted March 26, 2013 Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: One Goal Good luck with this definitely harder than it looks. I'd avoid the brasilian leagues like the plague screwed me over many times as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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