Seeking value in shots ratio

[axbx]

Hello guys! I came up with a system based on shots ratio. I try to predict the shots ratio for each team and then make my decision by the difference. For example: Home team's average shots ratio against top table opponents is 1,3 at home. Away team's average shots ratio at away is 0,8 against smaller teams. The difference is +0,5, and the actual probabilities for +0,5 are the following: Home win: 42,5%, Draw: 26,7%, Away: 30,7%. We make decision based on the odds offered. (The probabilities are based on past data) I start with a bank of 100 points, and will be flat betting 1 point. There is no restriction to leagues. Backtesting went fine, hope I can produce some results :ok Advices and opinions are welcome. Cheers,

[axbx]

Re: Seeking value in shots ratio First picks: English Premier League: Everton - Man City: DNB: 2,8 @ MarathonBet Aston Villa - QPR: 1x2: 3,3 @ Interwetten Southampton - Liverpool: 1x2: 4,1 @ Betvictor Stoke City - West Brom: 1x2: 2,6 @ Betvictor Chelsea - West Ham: DNB: 8,1 @ MarathonBet